Troy vs South Alabama Prediction, Pick & Odds (Tuesday, Oct. 15)

• South Alabama is a big 13.5-point favorite over Troy in Week 8 college football action Tuesday, October 15
• The Jaguars boast a Top-25 scoring offense in the NCAA
• Read below for Troy vs Alabama betting line, prediction and pick

The Sun Belt Conference is front and center Tuesday night to kick off College Football’s Week 8, as the Troy Trojans (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt) visit the South Alabama Jaguars (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt).

It’s a matchup the Trojans have dominated of late, but the tides certainly look to be turning, as they are double-digit road underdogs in the college football odds.

Read below and see if South Alabama is primed to snap a 6-game losing skid in this head-to-head.

Troy vs South Alabama Odds

Despite just two wins on the year, South Alabama is a hefty 13.5-point favorite in a game featuring a total of 55.

Odds as of October 14 (7pm ET) at Caesars Sportsbooks. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any Week 8 College Football matchup.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm ET at Hancock Whitney Stadium, in Mobile, Alabama, with ESPN2 providing coverage.

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Jaguars’ Offense Could Light Up Trojans’ Defense

Don’t let South Alabama’s 18-16 loss to Arkansas State last time out let you think their offense is struggling.

That’s two straight games the Jags have been held under 16 points (they dropped a 42-10 decision to 14th-ranked LSU the week prior), but the Arkansas State L was a total anomaly.

They still churned out 453 yards of offense, including 292 through the air and a healthy 4.9 yards per tote on the ground, but a pair of turnovers stalled out what should have been scoring drives, and they never could get rolling.

The Record Breaker 👏

66 points is a new school record for points in a single game! pic.twitter.com/3R8JIAEI5V

— South Alabama Football 🏈 (@SouthAlabamaFB) September 13, 2024

Still, their 36.5 points per game ranks 22nd in the nation, powered by pivot Gio Lopez, who has thrown for 1,308 yards on a crisp 63.3% completion rate, with 12 TD scores against just one interception.

Troy’s defense might not be ready to handle the Sun Belt’s Top-3 scoring offense. Last time out, they were crushed 38-17 by Texas State, the third time this season the defense has surrendered at least 38 points.

On the year, the Trojans are seventh in the Sun Belt in points allowed, bleeding 27.8 per contest.

There’s not enough on offense to outscore those problems, either. Troy is putting up just 20.7 points per game, and have topped 21 points just once all season.

There’s also the issue at quarterback, where Goose Crowder (head) may not be ready, with Tucker Kilcrease potentially in line for a second straight start.

Troy vs South Alabama Prediction

You have to go back to 2017 to find the last South Alabama win, as Troy has racked up six straight W’s while going a perfect 6-0 against the spread — with five of those games as the betting favorite.

These are not the Trojans of those years past, though. Troy is 0-2 on the road this season, blasted by Memphis 38-17, and Iowa 38-21. They’ve yet to count a win against an FBS team this season, and are 0-3 as a betting underdog on the year.

Troy vs South Alabama – Last 5 Matchups

South Alabama is just 1-3 ATS as betting favorites on the season, but if their offense continues to operate like it has all season, this one should be an easy cover and streak buster.

• Pick: South Alabama -13.5 (-110)