Michigan vs Washington Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Saturday, Oct. 5)

• We’ve made our Michigan vs Washington prediction for Saturday
• The Week 6 college football odds favor the Huskies by a very slim margin
• Read below for Michigan vs Washington prediction, player props and odds

Week 6 College Football features a rematch of last season’s College Football Playoff National Championship. The #10 Michigan Wolverines (4-1, 2-0 Big Ten) head to the Pacific Northwest to battle the Washington Huskies (3-2, 1-1 Big Ten) on Saturday, October 5, 2024.

Both teams look quite different from their last meeting, with Michigan now led by first-year head coach Sherrone Moore and Washington starting former Mississippi State quarterback Will Rogers. The Wolverines are a 1.5-point road underdogs with the total set at 40.5 points.

Kickoff from Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET with the game being televised nationally on NBC. Let’s dive into the matchup and offer our Michigan vs Washington prediction for this primetime showdown.

Michigan vs Washington Prediction

Michigan has relied heavily on its rushing attack and defense to grind out wins this season. The Wolverines rank 130th nationally in passing offense (124.6 YPG) but have a solid ground game led by converted linebacker Kalel Mullings, who is averaging 7.0 yards per carry. Defensively, Michigan has 13 sacks and 7 forced turnovers through five games.

The Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS this season but did pull off an outright upset as 4-point underdogs against USC a few weeks ago. Michigan is also 2-0 ATS as a road underdog since 2020. They have a solid shot to win if they can control the clock with their running game and force a few turnovers.

Washington’s passing offense led by Will Rogers (1,364 yards, 10 TD, 0 INT) will be the toughest test yet for UM’s secondary. The Wolverines have allowed 7.8 yards per pass attempt (87th) and given up five passing TDs of 40+ yards.

The Huskies also have a balanced rushing attack with Jonah Coleman (521 yards, 4 TD). Defensively, Washington allows just 12.4 points per game (15th nationally) but hasn’t faced an offense as physical as Michigan’s.

JONAH COLEMAN HAS WHEELS 💨

Look at this explosive 64 yard run for @UW_Football 💥#B1GFootball on @BigTenNetwork 📺 pic.twitter.com/hdLykkeN7k

— Washington on BTN (@WashingtonOnBTN) September 7, 2024

The Huskies are 2-3 ATS overall this season. They’ve outgained their opponent in both losses but struggled to finish drives, losing to Washington State and Rutgers. Establishing the run to set up play-action will be key.

With two evenly matched teams, I’m rolling with Washington ML (-115) at home in a tough environment for Michigan. UW has gone 4-1 SU in their last five games at Alaska Airlines Field, and they also match up well against Michigan’s run-heavy offense

I’m also playing the Under 40.5 points. Washington has gone Under the total in all five games this season, allowing just 12.4 PPG. Michigan’s games have also trended towards the Under, with the Wolverines ranking 95th in scoring offense (24.2 PPG). In a battle of two strong defenses, points should be at a premium.

WAS-MICH Picks

• Huskies ML (-115)
• Under 40.5 (-110)

Huskies-Wolverines Player Props

Here are a couple of Michigan vs Washington player props I like for this Big Ten clash:

Will Rogers Over 274.5 Passing Yards (-115) 

Rogers is averaging 272.8 passing YPG this season and has eclipsed this total in 3 of 5 games. He now faces a Michigan secondary allowing 225.4 passing YPG (68th). I expect him to have success through the air, especially if Washington is trailing.

Kalel Mullings Under 79.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

While Mullings is averaging an impressive 7.0 YPC, he’ll face a stout Washington front seven allowing just 113.5 rushing YPG (25th). The Huskies will likely stack the box and dare Michigan to throw. Mullings has been held under 80 yards in two of five games this year.

Michigan vs Washington Odds

Odds as of noon ET on Oct. 5, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the available BetMGM bonus code for Michigan vs Washington. 

Washington is currently a 1.5-point home favorite with the total sitting at 40.5 points. The Huskies are -115 on the moneyline (implied probability of 56.5%) while Michigan is a -105 underdog.

Some notable trends:

• 62% of spread bets are on Michigan +2.5
• Michigan is 1-4 ATS this season
• Washington is 2-3 ATS this season
• The Under is 5-0 in Washington games
• Michigan is 6-1 SU vs Washington in Ann Arbor but 1-4 SU in Seattle

Based on the CFB public betting trends page, the public is backing Michigan as a short road underdogs. Meanwhile, the sharps seem to favor Washington. The total dropping from 42 to 40.5 also indicates sharp action on the Under.