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Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Predictions, Picks & Props to Target (Game 1)

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in MLB Baseball

Published:


Royals vs Yankees Predictions
Sep 14, 2024; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) pitches against the Boston Red Sox during the first inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
  • The Kansas City Royals clash with the New York Yankees in the ALDS
  • The Yankees are 3-12 against the spread in their last 12 home games
  • Check out all the Royals vs Yankees odds & predictions, below

Kansas City battles the New York Yankees in Game 1 of the ALDS on Saturday, October 5. Kansas City defeated the Baltimore Orioles in the Wild Card round of the MLB playoffs earlier this week, while the Yankees have remained idle after finishing with the best record in the American League this season. This Royals vs Yankees matchup gets underway from Yankee Stadium at 6:30 p.m. ET. Dive in to the latest Royals vs Yankees odds and our best bets, below.

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Run Line Total
Kansas City Royals +172 +1.5 (-125) Over 7.5 (-122)
New York Yankees -205 -1.5 (+104) Under 7.5 (+100)

The Yankees are priced at -205 on the moneyline with the Royals at +172. New York is +104 on the runline to win by multiple runs, while the over/under is sitting at 7.5 (O-122/U+100).

Odds as of October 4  at FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out the best betting apps for Royals vs Yankees. 

The latest World Series odds have the Yankees as +290 favorites heading into their ALDS series with the Royals, so it’s no surprise to see the Bronze bombers favored to take Game 1.On the flip side, Kansas City is a World Series longshot and sit at the bottom of the odds board at +1400. The Royals enter this series having defeated the Baltimore Orioles 2-0 in the Wild Card round after scoring just three total runs. While the Yankees lost four of their last six regular season games.

Starting Pitcher Matchup: Wacha vs Cole

13-8 Record 8-5
3.35 ERA 3.41
4.05 xERA 3.59
1.19 WHIP 1.13
21.2 K% 25.4

Michael Wacha finished the regular season 13-8 with a 3.35 ERA in 29 starts. He logged over 166 total innings, while registering a career-low 32.5% hard hit percentage. It’s important to note, Wacha has faced the Yankees lineup in a total of 137 at bats throughout his career, allowing 33 hits (.241 average) with four home runs. He’s struck out the Yankees superstar lineup a total of 29 times, and given up just a .302 on-base percentage.

On the other side, Gerrit Cole has gone 8-5 since returning from injury in early June. The former Cy Young award winner has been fairly consistent this season, with his patented four seam fastball doing much of the damage. However, he registered one of the lowest strike out percentages (25.4%) of his career. Pair that with his high walk-percentage (7.4%), and Cole’s been merely human in 2024. He’s faced the Royals lineup in 145 at-bats throughout his career, giving up 32 hits and three home runs with 48 strikeouts.

Royals vs Yankees Predictions & Prop Bets for Game 1

While Cole has been a lesser version of his superstar self in 2024, bet on him to bounce back in the postseason. After all, the Yankees ace has been fantastic in October throughout his career, sporting a 10-6 record with a 2.93 ERA. Crucially, he’s averaged 11.56 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s also allowed more than his player prop of 4.5 hits in just one of his past five games. Bet Cole to keep the Royals in check on Saturday night.

Keep an eye on the latest MLB betting trends before placing your MLB playoff bets. The Yankees are just 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games at home. Additionally, Michael Wacha is no slouch and has the stuff to keep the Yanks star-studded lineup in check. Bet on a low scoring game in Game 1.

Royals vs Yankees Game 1 Picks:

  • Gerrit Cole under 4.5 hits allowed (+100)
  • Under 7.5 total runs (+100)

 

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Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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