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Seahawks vs Lions Player Props to Target on MNF (Week 4)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football

Published:


Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff throwing a pass
Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff makes a pass against Seattle Seahawks during the second half at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Sept. 17, 2023.
  • The Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions meet on MNF in Week 4
  • The game total is sitting at just 37 in this game between two struggling offenses
  • Below, see the best Seahawks vs Lions player props to target on Sep. 30

One of three remaining undefeated teams, the Seattle Seahawks (3-0, 1-0 away, 1-1-1 ATS) head to the Motor City for a date with the Detroit Lions (2-1, 1-1 home, 2-1 ATS) on Monday Night Football at 8:15 pm ET.

The Seahawks vs Lions odds favor Detroit by 3.5 0r 4.0 points depending on the sportsbook. The overarching theme of Lions games this season has been surprisingly good defense. Detroit is one of four teams that hasn’t hit an over in 2024. Despite playing one fewer game than the vast majority of players, Aidan Hutchinson leads the NFL with 6.5 sacks.

With than in mind, today’s Seahawks vs Lions player props are targeting some yardage unders, particularly on the Seattle side.

Seahawks vs Lions Player Props

Quarterbacks Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Geno Smith (SEA) 22.5 (Ov-130/Un-100) 248.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 1.5 (Ov+104/Un-135)
Jared Goff (DET) 21.5 (Ov -128/Un-102) 240.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 1.5 (Ov+104/Un-140)
Running Backs Attempts Rushing Yards Longest Rush
David Montgomery (DET) 14.5 (Ov-120/Un-108) 64.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 14.5 (Ov-122/Un-100)
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 11.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) 51.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 14.5 (Ov-110/Un-110)
Kenneth Walker III (SEA) OFF 54.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 14.5 (Ov-110/Un-11-)
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Amon-Ra St Brown (DET) 7.5 (Ov+126/Un-165) 75.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 22.5 (Ov-114/Un-114)
David Montgomery (DET) OFF 8.5 (Ov-105/Un-115) OFF
DK Metcalf (SEA) 4.5 (Ov-140/Un+108) 65.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 25.5 (Ov-108/Un-120)
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 3.5 (Ov+126/Un-165) 21.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 11.5 (Ov-108/Un-120)
Jameson Williams (DET) 3.5 (Ov+116/Un-152) 42.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 20.5 (Ov-114/Un-114)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 4.5 (Ov -146/Un +112) 50.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 18.5 (Ov-120/Un-108)
Noah Fant (SEA) 2.5 (Ov- 138/Un +106) 25.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 13.5 (Ov-114/Un-114)
Sam LaPorta (DET) 4.5 (Ov +122/Un -160) 38.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 15.5 (Ov-122/Un-106)
Tyler Lockett (SEA) 4.5 (Ov+126/Un-165) 44.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) 18.5 (Ov-122/Un-106)

Starting QBs Geno Smith and Jared Goff have markedly similar totals in today’s NFL player props, with Smith a shade above Goff in yardage (248.5 vs 240.5) and completions (22.5 vs 21.5).

Detroit WR1 Amon-Ra St Brown leads the receiving props with a total of 75.5 O/U while Lions RB1 David Montgomery has the highest rushing total at 64.5 O/U.

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SEA vs DET Player Prop Pick #1: Geno Smith Under 248.5 Passing Yards (-110)

I was somewhat surprised to see that Smith with a higher yardage prop than Detroit counterpart Goff.

Yes, Detroit is surrendering nearly 80 more air yards per game to opposing QBs (216.7 vs 132.3) but look at the pivots that Seattle has faced. Bo Nix, Jacoby Brissett, and Skyler Thompson: three of the least-prolific active quarterbacks.

Detroit, on the other hand, has had to contend with Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield, and Kyler Murray, which makes that 216.7 YPG number look pretty damn good. Neither Mayfield no Murray managed to exceed 210 yards in the last two weeks.

In other words, this is not the same Detroit defense that was bleeding yards and points last season. Smith has flown over 248.5 yards each of the last two games against the Patriots and Dolphins but he stayed under in eight of 15 starts last year and averaged just 241.6 YPG in 2023.

Seahawks vs Lions Player Prop Pick #2: Noah Fant Longest Reception Under 13.5 Yards (-114)

The Seattle offensive line is not among the league’s elite units in pass protection. Smith has been sacked eight times in three games and will now be staring down one of the best pass rushes in the NFL. Detroit has also been excellent at covering the tight end position this season, allowing just 2.5 reception (on 5.0 targets) and 27.7 YPG to tight ends through three games.

That should add up to a quiet day from Seattle’s Noah Fant, especially considering all the other deep-threat option on the Seattle sideline. If Smith is looking long, it’s going to be to Metcalf or Smith-Njigba or Lockett. Fant has 85 total receiving yards this year on nine catches (9.4 YPC) with a long of just 16 yards.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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