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Northern Iowa vs Hawaii Odds, Predictions & Picks (Saturday, Sep. 21)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Published:


Hawaii Rainbow Warriors quarterback Brayden Schager makes a pass
Aug 31, 2024; Honolulu, Hawaii, USA; Hawaii Rainbow Warriors quarterback Brayden Schager (13) makes a pass against the UCLA Bruins during the second quarter of an NCAA college football game at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Mandatory Credit: Marco Garcia-USA TODAY Sports
  • Northern Iowa vs Hawaii is the late-night Saturday college football game
  • The latest UNI vs Hawaii odds favor the Rainbow Warriors at home
  • Read below for Northern Iowa vs Hawaii odds, predictions and picks

The Northern Iowa Panthers travel to Honolulu for a Saturday night showdown with the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on September 21, 2024. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 PM local time (12:00 AM ET) at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.

As of September 18, Hawaii is favored by 9 points, with the over/under set at 46.5 points. Fans can watch the game on Spectrum Pay-Per-View.

Let’s dive into the UNI vs Hawaii matchup, as we analyze the odds and provide our Northern Iowa vs Hawaii prediction.

Northern Iowa vs Hawaii Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Northern Iowa +9 (-110) +290 O 46.5 (-110)
Hawaii -9 (-110) -350 U 46.5 (-110)

Odds as of September 18, 2024 at ESPN Sportsbook.

The line has moved from Hawaii -7.5 to Hawaii -9, which means they must now win by 10 or more to cover the spread. A $110 bet on the Rainbow Warriors -9 would win $100 if they prevail by double digits. The -350 moneyline odds give Hawaii an implied probability of 77.8% to win outright.

For Northern Iowa, the +9 spread means they can lose by eight or fewer points, or win straight up, to cover. Their +290 moneyline odds translate to a 25.6% chance of pulling the upset.

The total dropping from 47.5 points to 46.5 indicates oddsmakers expect a lower-scoring game than initially projected. Over 46.5 (-110) bettors need at least 47 combined points to cash, while under 46.5 (-110) tickets are winners if 46 or fewer points are scored.

 

Panthers Betting Analysis

The Panthers, led by 24th-year head coach Mark Farley, enter this late-night showdown with a 3-0 record. Northern Iowa’s offense is orchestrated by co-offensive coordinators Ryan Clanton and Bodie Reeder, who are now in their third season together.

At quarterback, the Panthers have relied on the duo of sophomore Jaxon Dailey and junior Aidan Dunne. Through two games, Dailey has completed 17 of 34 passes for 203 yards, while Dunne is 17-for-29 for 156 yards.

The Panthers’ ground game is paced by junior Tye Edwards, who has rushed for 352 yards on 40 carries (8.8 avg) and two touchdowns so far. As a team, Northern Iowa is averaging a whopping 245.3 rushing yards per game and 5.94 yards per carry.

Defensively, the Panthers are allowing just 15 points per game through three contests. They’ve forced four turnovers and are holding opponents to 285.7 total yards per game. Leading the charge is senior linebacker Spencer Cuvelier, who has a team-high 18 tackles.

Rainbow Warriors Betting Analysis

Hawaii, under third-year head coach Timmy Chang, is off to a 1-2 start this season. Chang, a former record-setting Hawaii QB himself, has implemented the run-and-shoot offense that the program was known for in its heyday.

Leading that high-powered attack is sophomore pivot Brayden Schager. Through three games, Schager has completed 55.3% of his passes for 682 yards and four TDs. His favorite target has been junior receiver Pofele Ashlock, who has 22 catches for 277 yards and two scores.

In the backfield, Hawaii utilizes a committee approach led by redshirt junior Landon Sims and redshirt sophomore Cam Barfield. Sims leads the team with 77 rushing yards on 21 carries (3.7 avg), while Barfield has added 44 yards on 11 attempts (4.0 avg).

On the other side of the ball, Hawaii’s defense has struggled at times this season. The Rainbow Warriors are allowing 20.3 points and 341.7 total yards per game. They have forced six turnovers but will need to shore up a run defense yielding 144 yards per game on the ground.

Northern Iowa vs Hawaii Prediction

This FCS vs FBS clash is a tale of two styles – Northern Iowa’s balanced attack vs Hawaii’s high-octane run-and-shoot. The Panthers’ defense will keep them in it, but the Rainbow Warriors’ home-field advantage and explosive playmakers give them the upper hand.

I’m forecasting a tight contest throughout, with Northern Iowa’s defense bending but not breaking. However, the long trip to the islands and the challenge of slowing down Hawaii’s aerial circus will prove a bit too much to overcome.

I predict Hawaii will win the game outright, but I don’t have a strong ATS play here. Instead, I’m targeting the under, which has hit in each of Hawaii’s last five home games. With Northern Iowa’s strong defense and Hawaii’s short passing game potentially controlling the clock, this contest should be relatively low-scoring.

Saturday CFB Pick:

  • Under 46.5 Points (-110)

 

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Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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