UFC 300 Odds, Predictions & Picks: Pereira vs Hill, Gaethje vs Holloway

By Brady Trettenero in Mixed Martial Arts News
Updated: April 13, 2024 at 6:47 pm EDTPublished:

- UFC’s main event of the year, UFC 300, goes down on Saturday, April 13th in Vegas
- Alex Pereira takes on Jamahal Hill, while Justin Gaethje clashes with Max Holloway
- Read below for full UFC 300 odds, predictions & picks, plus how to watch
It will be an unforgettable night of MMA action as UFC 300 takes center stage on Saturday, April 13, live from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The stacked card features three championship bouts, headlined by the light heavyweight title showdown between reigning champion Alex Pereira and former titleholder Jamahal Hill.
We’ve got the UFC 300 odds, plus predictions for all the major fights. We’ll also tell you how to stream Saturday’s card.
UFC 300 Odds (Main Card)
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
---|---|---|
Justin Gaethje | -170 | O 3.5 (-180) |
Max Holloway | +142 | U 3.5 (+140) |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Zhang Weili | -485 | O 3.5 (-140) |
Yan Xiaonan | +370 | U 3.5 (+110) |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Alex Pereira | -135 | O 1.5 (-175) |
Jamahal Hill | +114 | U 1.5 (+135) |
In the UFC 300 odds for the main card, Zhang Weili is the heaviest favorite at -485 moneyline odds (83% implied probability) in her bout with Yan Xiaonan.
According to public betting data released by DraftKings Sportsbook, Weili is the most bet fighter for Saturday despite having such short odds.
However, Alex Pereira has received the most handle (total money) in his bout with Jamahal Hill.
Odds as of April 13, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on UFC 300. If you’re already registered with DraftKings, check out the best UFC betting sites in 2024.
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How to Watch UFC 300
UFC 300 takes place on Saturday, April 13, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The event will be available through various viewing options:
Platform | Event Portion | Start Time (ET) |
---|---|---|
ESPN+ | Early Prelims | 6:00 PM |
ESPN | Prelims | 8:00 PM |
ESPN+ Pay-Per-View | Main Card | 10:00 PM |
To access the early prelims and the main card, viewers will need an ESPN+ subscription. The prelims will be broadcast on ESPN, which is available through cable, satellite, and streaming services.
Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill Prediciton & Pick
In the main event, Alex Pereira looks to solidify his reign as the UFC light heavyweight champion when he faces off against the man he dethroned, Jamahal Hill. Pereira, known for his devastating striking power, aims to prove that his title victory was no fluke.

However, Hill is determined to reclaim the throne and showcase his own impressive stand-up skills. This fight has all the makings of a stand-up war, with both men possessing the ability to end the contest with a single shot.
While Hill’s technical striking and speed could pose problems for Pereira, the champion’s raw power and ability to absorb damage give him the edge. Expect a back-and-forth battle, with Pereira ultimately securing a late-round knockout victory to retain his title.
- Pereira vs Hill Pick: Alex Pereira (-135)
Zhang Weili vs Yan Xiaonan Pick & Prediction
The co-main event features a historic all-Chinese strawweight title clash between reigning champion Zhang Weili and top contender Yan Xiaonan. Zhang, widely regarded as one of the best female fighters in the world, looks to continue her dominant reign with a statement victory over her compatriot.
Yan, riding an impressive win streak, aims to dethrone the champion and become the first Chinese fighter to hold UFC gold. Zhang’s well-rounded skill set, featuring powerful striking and strong grappling, should be the deciding factor in this matchup.
While Yan’s striking prowess cannot be overlooked, Zhang’s ability to dictate the pace and location of the fight should lead her to a unanimous decision victory, solidifying her status as the queen of the strawweight division.
- Weili vs Xiaonan Pick: Zhang Weili (-485)
Justin Gaethje vs Max Holloway Prediction & Pick
Fan favorites Justin Gaethje and Max Holloway collide in a highly anticipated lightweight bout for the BMF (Baddest Motherf***er) title. Gaethje, known for his relentless pressure and all-action style, looks to add another highlight-reel finish to his resume.
Justin Gaethje fight week🔥
The only man to get two KO’s in one night
— 🌴ᴛʜᴇᴀʀᴛᴏꜰᴡᴀʀ🌴 (@TheArtOfWar6) April 9, 2024
Holloway, a former featherweight champion, aims to prove his worth at lightweight and capture the coveted BMF belt. This fight has “Fight of the Night” written all over it, with both men known for their incredible durability and high-volume striking.
Gaethje’s power and pressure will be a significant factor early on, but Holloway’s technical boxing and conditioning will come into play as the fight progresses. In a back-and-forth war, Holloway’s superior cardio and striking accuracy will earn him a hard-fought unanimous decision victory, cementing his status as the UFC’s BMF.
- Gaethje vs Holloway Pick: Justin Gaethje (-170)
UFC 300 Quick Picks
- Jiri Prochazka (+100) vs Aleksandar Rakic: Prochazka’s unorthodox striking and improved grappling should lead him to a hard-fought decision victory over Rakic.
- Charles Oliveira (+195) vs Arman Tsarukyan: Oliveira’s experience and well-rounded skill set should be the difference-maker, as he secures a third-round submission win over the rising contender Tsarukyan.
- Holly Holm vs Kayla Harrison (-425): In a clash of decorated combat sports athletes, Harrison’s size and grappling prowess will prove too much for Holm, resulting in a unanimous decision win for the former PFL champion in her UFC debut.
- Aljamain Sterling (-170) vs Calvin Kattar: Sterling’s wrestling and improved striking should lead him to a split-decision victory over the always-tough Kattar in this high-stakes featherweight bout.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.