Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Spread & Picks for Thursday Night Football
By Robert Duff in NFL Football
Updated: July 11, 2024 at 11:40 am EDTPublished:
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 10.5-point home favorites over the Denver Broncos in the Week 6 TNF game on Thursday, October 12
- Kansas City is 15-0 straight up in the past 15 games against Denver
- The Broncos are 3-0 against the spread in the past three games facing the Chiefs
When it comes to assessing how to bet on the Kansas City Chiefs (4-1, 3-2 ATS) vs the Denver Broncos (1-4, 0-4-1 ATS) in the Week 6 TNF game in the Broncos vs Chiefs odds, it all comes down to the type of wager you’re planning to place.
If it’s a moneyline bet you’re planning, go with KC. The Chiefs are 15-0 straight up in the past 15 games against the Broncos. However, should it be a spread bet you desire, then things get a little dicier. Denver has covered the past three games against Kansas City.
For this tilt, oddsmakers are setting the Chiefs as 10.5-point home favorites. The Broncos are 3-0 against the spread the last three times they’ve been a double-digit underdog against Kansas City.
Let’s look more deeply into this Broncos vs Chiefs prediction and matchup and offer you our best bet for this Week 6 clash of AFC West rivals.
Broncos vs Chiefs Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | +400 | +10.5 (-110) | Over 48 (-108) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -535 | -10.5 (-110) | Under 48 (-112) |
In the Broncos vs Chiefs odds, the Chiefs are -535 moneyline favorites, giving them a 84.25% implied win probability. The total is set at 48 points. Â The total has gone over in nine of Denver’s last 10 games.
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Denver vs Kansas City odds as of October 11 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim a DraftKings sign-up promo code to make your Broncos vs Chiefs picks and to bet on other Week 6 NFL action. And check out DraftKings daily menu of odds boosts for TNF and other games this week. Right now DK has a 50% profit boost available for any Broncos vs Chiefs picks.
Kickoff for this game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday, October 12 is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.
Public Money on the Chiefs
Looking at the NFL public betting splits on this game, there’s a lot of love going Kansas City’s way. The Chiefs are pulling in 81% of spread handle and 99% of moneyline bets in the Broncos vs Chiefs betting splits.
Four of the past five Denver at Kansas City games have gone under. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in the last four games in which they took the field as double-digit underdogs. But they’re 4-1 ATS in the last five games against Kansas City.
The Chiefs are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games and 8-1 SU in the club’s last nine home games. Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in the past seven games against AFC West opposition.
Kansas City is the second betting choice in the odds to win Super Bowl at +550. Denver is given a betting line of +20000 in this market.
Broncos Looking to Bust Slump
The last time the Broncos beat the Chiefs, Peyton Manning was Denver’s QB1. Patrick Mahomes was a sophomore at Texas Tech. Not a single player or coach remains with the Broncos from the team that downed the Chiefs 31-24 on September 17, 2015.
Week 6 prep. 💪
📸 » https://t.co/wl6diVTSbH pic.twitter.com/A2Ui0D2FLz
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) October 10, 2023
During the ensuing 15-game win streak by Kansas City, the average margin of victory has been 11 points. However, eight of the 15 outcomes were decided by one score.
Denver is drawing nearer to the longest losing streak to one team in NFL history. During the 1970s, Buffalo lost 20 games in a row to Miami.
Chiefs Hardly Dominant
Yes Kansas City is 4-1 on the season. However, it would be a misnomer to suggest that the Chiefs are resembling a juggernaut. Although KC has won four in a row, three of those verdicts were one-score decisions over teams with a combined 6-9 SU record (Jets, Vikings, Jaguars).
#Chiefs Travis Kelce moving pretty good today.
Ankle Watch 2.0. pic.twitter.com/uVgzy1DftG
— PJ Green (@ByPJGreen) October 10, 2023
The Chiefs lost the season opener at home to Detroit minus injured All-Pro TE Travis Kelce. Taylor Swift’s main squeeze suffered a sprained ankle last week vs the Vikings, but is expected to play against Denver, despite being questionable in the Broncos vs Chiefs injury reports.
Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction
As 10.5-point underdogs, it’s just the fourth time in his career as an NFL head coach that Broncos coach Sean Payton finds his team as a double-digit underdog.
Kansas City still looks to be figuring out what the identity of this team is going to be. The Chiefs will beat Denver again, but they won’t win going away.
Broncos vs Chiefs Picks: Denver Broncos +10.5 (-112)
TNF Record: 5-0-0 (+5 units)
Looking for more TNF picks? Check out our Broncos vs Chiefs SGP here!
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
