Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Pubic Betting Trends for TNF
By Robert Duff in NFL Football
Published:
- Listed as 1.5-point road favorites, the Detroit Lions are drawing the majority of NFL public betting splits on the moneyline for their Week 4 TNF game at the Green Bay Packers
- However, the people are divided between the two clubs when it comes to the public spread splits
- On the total of 45.5 points there is also division between the over and under in the Lions vs Packers public betting splits
Oddly enough, the people are displaying significant confidence in the Detroit Lions to defeat the Green Bay Packers in the Lions vs Packers public betting splits on this Week 4 TNF clash between longtime NFC North rivals. However, there’s less certainty that the Lions, 1.5-point road favorites, will be covering against the Packers.
Detroit is just 4-26 straight in the past 30 games played at Green Bay. However, the Lions are 4-1 against the spread as a road favorite against the Packers since 1986.
Let’s take a look at how the NFL public betting is falling in each of these categories for this Lions vs Packers game. First of all, though, a look at the latest Detroit vs Green Bay betting trends on the game as of Thursday morning.
Lions vs Packers Betting Percentages
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | -1.5 | 68% | 48% | 45.5 | 46% | 61% | -130 | 85% | 57% |
| Green Bay Packers | +1.5 | 32% | 52% | 45.5 | 54% | 39% | +110 | 15% | 43% |
In the Lions vs Packers odds, the Lions are -130 moneyline favorites, giving them a 56.52% implied win probability. Kickoff for this game at Lambeau Field on Thursday, September 28 is set for 8:15pm ET.
The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.
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Odds as of September 28 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Lions vs Packers and other Week 4 NFL action.
Spread Bettors Wavering On Detroit
The Lions don’t often win at Green Bay. However, when the online NFL betting apps are liking the Lions as road favorites against the Packers, it generally turns out well for Detroit bettors. As noted above, the Lions are favored at Lambeau Field for just the sixth time in 47 years. They’re 4-1 ATS on the five previous occasions when this occurred.
In NFL spreads, the betting public isn’t as solid in their belief that this trend will continue to hold forth. While Lions at -1.5 points are drawing 68% of the handle in the public spread splits, there’s 52% of bets supporting home underdog Green Bay at +1.5.
Dan Campbell gets goosebumps just thinking about Thursday. Lions-Packers, Lambeau Field, under the lights?
"I told the rookies yesterday, 'Get ready to live, man. This is good stuff here. These are the things that you’ll never forget when you’re done playing." @StoneyJansen
— Will Burchfield (@burchie_kid) September 26, 2023
The Lions, though, are 3-0 ATS in the last three games against Green Bay. Detroit is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 games facing the Packers and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Under head coach Dan Campbell, Detroit is an NFL-best 25-12 ATS since the beginning of the 2021 NFL season.
Total Belief In the Over
The people are equally as uncertain about which way to play the total of 45.5 points. The public betting splits on the over/under are showing that 54% of handle likes the under, while 61% of bets are staking that the teams will combine to score more than 45.5 points.
In the last 15 Detroit vs Green Bay games at Lambeau, the over is holding a slight 8-7 edge. The last two games between these teams both went under. In the last nine games when the Lions vs Packers total was 46 points or less, the over is 6-3. Depending on how you choose to bet this total, may also affect your decisions in tonight’s Lions vs Packers props.
Moneyline Roaring With Lions
Even though Detroit has only won four games outright at Green Bay since 1994, the public betting splits on the moneyline are going all-in with the Lions. Detroit is garnering 85% of handle and 57% of bets.
While the Lions are indeed 4-26 SU in their last 30 visits to Lambeau, taking recency into account changes the viewpoint of the Lions vs Packers prediction. All four Lions wins at Green Bay in that span have come since 2015. Detroit is 4-4 SU in the last eight games at Green Bay. Â The Lions are 3-0 SU in the past three overall meetings with the Packers.
Lions. Packers.
Thursday night at Lambeau.#DETvsGB | #GoPackGo pic.twitter.com/vIVxP81cQH
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 28, 2023
Detroit has won five in a row against NFC North teams. Overall, the Lions are 4-1 SU in their past five games. However, the Packers are 6-2 SU in their past eight games and 14-5 SU in their last 19 home games.
Detroit’s last two September road victories against Green Bay in 1980 and 1975 both came in games played at Milwaukee. The last time the Lions won at Lambeau Field during the first month of the NFL season was a 40-0 drubbing of the Packers on September 20, 1970. Green Bay is 6-0-1 SU against Detroit in the past seven September games played at Lambeau Field.
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
