3M Open Predictions & Odds 2023

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Published:

- The 3M Open from Blaine, Minnesota tees off Thursday, July 27th
- Tony Finau is the +1200 favorite over Cameron Young
- See the 2023 3M odds, picks, and best value bets below
The final men’s major of 2023 has come and gone, with Brian Harman rolling to a sensational six-stroke victory at the Open Championship. The golfers next stop is Blaine, Minnesota for the 3M Open, which is the second last regular season tournament before the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
This year just the top-70 players compete, as opposed to top-125, so playoff stalwart Justin Thomas needs to get something going as the 75th ranked competitor, and he tees it up this week. There have been four iterations of this tournament, with each time the winner going low, with scores ranging from 15 to 21 under-par for the champions.
2023 3M Open Odds
Golfers | Odds |
---|---|
Tony Finau | +1200 |
Cameron Young | +1400 |
Sungjae Im | +1600 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +1800 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Emiliano Grillo | +2800 |
Sepp Straka | +3000 |
Gary Woodland | +3500 |
Sahith Theegala | +3500 |
Ludvig Aberg | +3500 |
Stephan Jaeger | +3500 |
Patrick Rodgers | +4000 |
Keith Mitchell | +4000 |
Adam Hadwin | +4500 |
Cam Davis | +4500 |
J.J. Spaun | +4500 |
Beau Hossler | +4500 |
Mark Hubbard | +4500 |
Akshay Bhatia | +5000 |
J.T. Poston | +5000 |
The betting favorite is Tony Finau at +1200. He made this the first of back-to-back victories last season. He’s followed by Cameron Young, who contended at last weekend’s Open Championship before settling for a T-8th result. Sungjae Im, Hideki Matsuyama and Justin Thomas round out the top-five contenders.

Odds as of July 24th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on the 3M Open or check out the best mobile sportsbook apps.Â
Emiliano Grillo Poised For Another Victory
Emiliano Grillo is coming off his best ever finish at a major championship, where he co-led the Open after round one, then wound up tied for sixth. A few months ago, he won for the second time on the PGA Tour at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and he’s contended at the 3M Open in the past.
Emiliano Grillo’s Strokes Gained Stats Last 12 Rounds At 3M Open
Tee-To-Green | Total | Ball Striking | Off-The-Tee | Approach | Short Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 34 |
In 2020, the Argentinian ended up in a tie for third at the 3M Open, then last year he was runner-up to Tony Finau. Given his strong play of late and exceptional track record around TPC Twin Cities, his +2800 odds to win outright are very intriguing.
Past Four 3M Open Winners
Year | Winner |
---|---|
2022 | Tony Finau |
2021 | Cameron Champ |
2020 | Michael Thompson |
2019 | Matthew Wolff |
2023 3M Open Picks and Value Bets
- Adam Hadwin (+4000): The second last time he teed it up, Adam Hadwin very nearly won his second PGA Tour event, dropping a playoff at the Rocket Mortgage Classic to Rickie Fowler. He’s had success at this track also, securing a fourth place showing in 2019 and a tie for sixth in 2021. In the last twelve rounds at this venue, he’s fourth in total strokes gained and fifth in putting.
- Taylor Pendrith (+6000): Before a missed cut at the Barracuda Championship, Taylor Pendrith was trending, with a T-14th in Detroit (he was in the final group on Sunday), then a sixth place showing at the Barbasol. For those two events, he gained over 15 shots tee-to-green compared to his competitors.
- Garrick Higgo (+7500): South African lefty Garrick Higgo has quietly been playing solidly, going T-33, T-21, T-19 in his last three starts. In that stretch, he’s sixth in strokes gained off the tee and top-15 in total strokes gained. He’ll be an interesting name in the top 10/20 markets.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.