Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Bublik Odds & Prediction – Halle Open Final

• Andrey Rublev is the favorite vs Alexander Bublik in Sunday’s Halle Open final
• Bublik’s best surface is grass, but he’s 0-3 vs Rublev on comparable fast indoor hard courts
• Read on as we break down this matchup, and make a prediction for Rublev vs Bublik

Andrey Rublev is a slight favorite to win his first grass-court title in the Halle Open final Sunday (8 a.m. ET) over the unseeded Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan.

Rublev vs Bublik Odds

At -148 odds, Rublev is the favorite in the Rublev vs Bublik odds for Sunday’s Halle Open final. Bublik is the underdog at +122 odds.

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Bublik Once Again Rules on Grass

Bublik, a Russian who plays for Kazakhstan, is capable of the best and the worst – often within the very same match.

He’s a quirky, unpredictable opponent who often looks as though he’s not taking it all that seriously. Which also makes him a dangerous opponent.

He has had by far his best career results on the grass, which can reward his risk-taking and brings his big serve to the fore.

Bublik was a finalist at Newport in 2019, a grass event held in Rhode Island right after Wimbledon.  He made the final there again last year, losing to serve-volley specialist Maxime Cressy.

Big Win over Zverev in Semis

Bublik looked nothing like his usual nonchalant self as he met Alexander Zverev at the net after their semifinal Saturday.

He almost looked … shocked even though the win brings his head-to-head against Zverev to 3-1.

BREAKING NEW GROUND IN HALLE 🫡

The moment Alexander Bublik defeated home hope Zverev to reach his first ATP 500 final! @ATPHalle | #TerraWortmannOpen pic.twitter.com/LhkvaBysli

— ATP Tour (@atptour) June 24, 2023

Bublik also got a win over top-10 player Jannik Sinner, who retired down 5-7, 0-2 in their quarterfinal with a left leg issue.

Rublev vs Bublik Head-to-Head

Bublik was 8-19 on the season coming into Halle, so this run to the final is a great confidence builder heading into Wimbledon.

With this run, and the withdrawal of Karen Khachanov (and there might be a couple more), he’s sure to be seeded at the All-England Club when the tournament begins in 10 days.

Rublev Surprisingly Good on Grass

If Rublev is known primarily as a hard-court player, his career results betray that theory. In fact, his winning percentages on clay, hard and grass are almost identical; all are a hair over 60 per cent.

Interestingly, Rublev has never faced a top-20 player on grass; the highest-ranked opponent of his career was Albert Ramos, ranked No. 22 when the Russian beat him in 2017. He defeated No. 23 Roberto Bautista Agut in the Halle semifinals on Saturday.

It was pretty routine, as well: 6-3, 6-4.

That streak will continue in Sunday’s final against Bublik, who is currently ranked No. 48.

Rublev vs Bublik Match History

Bublik won a match between the two in the qualifying at the Moscow tournament, back in 2016 when both were still teenagers. But at the top level, Rublev has won all three encounters.

They’ve all been very close, though. None came on grass; all of the matches were played on quick indoor surfaces. But those are probably the closest conditions to grass, for comparison’s sake.

Rublev vs Bublik Prediction

You would think Bublik’s talent, big serve and unpredictability would mean he has a decent record against top-10 players. He’s a little like Nick Kyrgios, but without much of the drama, in that sense.

But that’s not really the case. Bublik is 7-19 against them; two of those wins came in Davis Cup, a third when Jannik Sinner retired in their quarterfinal this week, and two more came against Zverev.

He’s been in enough finals (including two on grass) that he’s unlikely to have nerves affect him too much.

You’d expect Rublev to win, but we predict Bublik can extract a set.

Best Bet: Rublev in Three Sets (+260)