Euro 2024 Qualifying Odds & Picks Matchday 4 (June 19)

• Monday’s Euro 2024 Qualifying slate features 12 matches across Groups B, C, D, H, and I
• England looks to keep their perfect record alive in Group C, while Romania could overtake Switzerland for first place in Group I
• Get your Euro 2024 qualifying odds and betting predictions for Matchday 4, including England vs North Macedonia and France vs Greece

On Monday, countries in Groups B, C, D, H and I will continue in their push for Euro 2024 qualification. While most countries still have seven matches remaining in pool play, it is important to set a precedent in these early contests. Only two teams automatically qualify for the final tournament from each five-team group, which means one stumble could make the difference.

For the most part, chalk has won out across this international break, barring a shocking win against Wales for 97th ranked Armenia on Friday. England, France, Switzerland and Turkey all return home on Monday too, which could make for some truly lopsided results.

Euro 2024 Qualifying Matchday 4 Odds

The biggest favorites on Monday include Ireland (-5000 vs Gibraltar), Finland (-4000 vs San Marino), Ukraine (-800 vs Andorra), and Ukraine (-800 vs Malta). The matches with the narrowest odds are Armenia vs Latvia and Turkey vs Wales.

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Euro 2024 Qualifying Odds

Surprisingly, Finland and Ireland are the most heavily favored countries on Monday, in their respective matches against San Marino and Gibraltar. According to the moneyline odds, Armenia vs Latvia, Slovenia vs Denmark, Northern Ireland vs Kazakhstan and Turkey vs Wales have the highest potential to be close matches, with stalemate odds of +275 or better.

Another trend to keep on eye on is the total goal tally. Despite facing end-of-season fatigue, these 24 teams combined for 38 goals on Friday, an average of 3.8 total goals per contest. In turn, 75% of those games eclipsed 2.5 total goals. Nonetheless, Seven of the twelve matches on Monday have over 2.5 total goal odds of -175 or better, while four matches have plus odds.

England vs North Macedonia Prediction

The Three Lions are a team playing with confidence, and have been perfect so far in their Euro 2024 qualifying.  Moreover, they were superb in their last match against Malta, scoring four goals with three different goal-scorers. One of those goal-scorers, Trent Alexander-Arnold, played in the midfield for Southgate, a much anticipated move for the Liverpool defender. In short, he was stellar on the night, and displayed how England could unlock a new level of attacking prowess.

This angle of @TrentAA's goal in Malta 😮‍💨 pic.twitter.com/IZQuGifOsr

— England (@England) June 18, 2023

With all of that being said, North Macedonia can hang around with the toughest of sides. Igor Angelovski’s squad took Ukraine to their limits on Friday and famously beat Italy in that World Cup qualifier a year and a half ago. Also, it should be noted that England are 2-2-0 against North Macedonia all-time, with draws coming in 2002 and 2006. There is not a ton of value in betting on England for Monday’s match, which is why over 3.5 total goals is the best play. We know England can score goals and North Macedonia has potential to add to that tally.

Pick: Over 3.5 total goals (+115)

France vs Greece Prediction

Our next highlighted match is France vs Greece at the Stade de France. Les Bleus are also perfect through three Euro qualifiers, outscoring their opposition on an aggregated scoreline of 8-0. In reality, there is not much, if anything, negative to say about Didier Deschamps’ side over the last five years. Their only real blemish was a World Cup Final loss to a country led by a modern day football messiah. The squad they are working with right now is just unfair; from front to back, they have world class options to start and rotate.

This is no slight to Greece either. The Ethniki have won both of their qualifiers against Gibraltar and Ireland, and have looked much more impressive in the last year. But, there are levels to football, and Greece is not close to being on the same level as Kylian Mbappe and France.

Olivier Giroud, France's all-time leading scorer, struck after three minutes on the day he equaled Thierry Henry for third in all-time Les Bleus appearances (123) ⚡ pic.twitter.com/upJo4oIj4R

— B/R Football (@brfootball) June 16, 2023

Again, because France are so heavily favored, I am taking this in another direction. I like Olivier Giroud to score with odds of +105. The French striker has eight goals in his last 13 appearances for France, and ended his club season with five in three for AC Milan.

Pick: Giroud to score (+105) 

Switzerland vs Romania Prediction

Finally, we finish off with Switzerland vs Romania in Group I. These sides have met three times over the years, going 1-1-1 against each other. Switzerland have been a bit of mixed bag over the last year, having stretches of brilliance and disaster. On the other hand, Romania have been a fun side to watch early in this competition.

They might not have the household names of Switzerland, but they like to really get after it on offense. In fact, they have scored in six straight matches across all competitions, averaging 2.5 per contest. Switzerland are capable of scoring goals too, but their defense is leaky, with clean sheets in only 25% of their last sixteen. Part of me wants Romania at +1.5, but it is a little juicy for my liking. As a result, shift towards both teams to score, which still backs Romania, but with much better value and risk.

Pick: Both Teams to Score (+120)