Astros vs Blue Jays Predictions, Odds & Props (June 5)

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Blue Jays are -135 home favorites over the Astros on Monday night
- Brandon Bielak (2-2, 3.19) will start for the Astros against Alek Manoah (1-6, 5.46)
- A look at the Astros vs Blue Jays matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
The Toronto Blue Jays will try to stay hot when they host the Houston Astros at 7:07 p.m. ET Monday at Rogers Centre to open a four-game series.
The Blue Jays (33-27, 15-10 home) are on a four-game winning streak and have won six of their last seven games following a 6-4 road victory over the New York Mets on Sunday that completed a three-game series sweep. The Astros (35-24, 17-10 road) had their three-game winning streak end with a 2-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels at home.
Astros vs Blue Jays Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Houston Astros | +115 | +1.5 (-170) | Over 9.5 (-120) |
Toronto Blue Jays | -135 | -1.5 (+143) | Under 9.5 (-100) |
The Blue Jays are -135 favorites on the moneyline over the Astros on Monday night in the MLB odds, giving them a 57.45% implied win probability. Houston has +700 World Series championship odds and Toronto is listed at +1900.
The roof will likely be closed at Rogers Centre as there is a 60% percent chance of showers in the weather forecast.

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Astros vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
Brandon Bielak (2-2, 3.19) is expected to pitch for the Astros against Alek Manoah (1-6, 5.46). Bielak will be working on five days of rest and Manoah on four.
Bielak vs Manoah
2-2 | Record | 1-6 |
3.19 | ERA | 5.46 |
5.48 | xERA | 6.43 |
1.45 | WHIP | 1.77 |
2.33 | SO/W | 1.17 |
Bielak allowed one run and three hits over 5.2 innings to beat the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday in Houston. He matched a career-high with six strikeouts while walking three.
This will be Bielak’s first career start against the Blue Jays.
Bielak has started five times this season without notching a quality start and the Astros have a 2-3 record in those games. He is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts on the road but has a 2-0 record and 2.49 ERA in four games (three starts) at night.
Brandon Bielak had his changeup going again tonight including this strikeout of Carlos Correa
⚾️5.2 IP
⚾️3 HITS
⚾️1 RUN
⚾️6 STRIKEOUTSAstros lead the Twins 5-1 in the 7th @astros #Ready2Reign pic.twitter.com/ZFzrtzGBYp
— Space City Home Network (@SpaceCityHN) May 31, 2023
Manoah is coming off a rough May in which he was 0-5 with a 6.16 ERA in six starts. Manoah has lost his last six decisions since notching his lone win of the season on April 5 against the Royals at Kansas City.
In his most recent start Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers at Rogers Centre, Manoah took the loss as he allowed two runs and three hits in four innings. He had three walks and two strikeouts.
Manoah won his lone career start against the Astros, limiting them to two runs in six innings last season.
Manoah is winless in six starts at home this season, going 0-3 with a 6.83 ERA. He is 1-4 with a 4.50 ERA in seven starts in night games.
The Blue Jays are 4-8 when Manoah takes the mound and he has just two quality starts in 12 outings. Nevertheless, he is still listed in the American League Cy Young odds, albeit at +10000.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Astros Batters | Batting Average vs Alek Manoah |
---|---|
Kyle Tucker | .667 |
Alex Bregman | .333 |
Jose Abreu | .143 |
Yordan Alvarez | .000 |
Jeremy Pena | .000 |
Martin Maldonado | .000 |
Blue Jays Batters | Batting Average vs Brandon Bielak |
Daulton Varsho | .500 |
Brandon Belt | .000 |
Matt Chapman | .000 |
Astros first baseman Jose Abreu is 1 for 7 against Manoah with three strikeouts. Active Blue Jays hitters are a combined 1 for 8 with four strikeouts against Bielak.
Astros vs Blue Jays Betting Trends
Brandon Belt hit a tie-breaking two-run home run in the seventh inning Sunday to lift the Blue Jays over the Mets. He is hitting .347 (25 of 72) in his last 25 games.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr, whose AL MVP odds are +3000, hit a solo home run and Whit Merrifield had a two-run double. Each finished with two hits.
Batter's Eye Belt 😤 pic.twitter.com/slMhUgw16t
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) June 4, 2023
Yanier Diaz accounted for the Astros’ lone run in Sunday’s loss to the Angels with a solo homer. Diaz had two hits as did Alex Bregman, who ran his hitting streak to 11 games.
Second baseman Jose Altuve missed his second straight game with an oblique issue and is questionable for Monday.
Astros vs Blue Jays Last 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
4/19/23 | Astros | Blue Jays | HOU, 8-1 |
4/18/23 | Astros | Blue Jays | TOR, 4-2 |
4/17/23 | Astros | Blue Jays | HOU, 9-2 |
5/1/22 | Blue Jays | Astros | TOR, 3-2 |
4/30/22 | Blue Jays | Astros | TOR, 2-1 |
4/29/22 | Blue Jays | Astros | HOU, 11-7 |
4/24/22 | Astros | Blue Jays | HOU, 8-7 |
4/23/22 | Astros | Blue Jays | TOR, 3-2 |
4/22/22 | Astros | Blue Jays | TOR, 4-3 |
6/6/21 | Blue Jays | Astros | HOU, 6-3 |
The Astros took two of three from the Blue Jays in Houston in April as center fielder Jake Meyers went 4 for 11 with a double, a home run and five RBIs. The Astros hold a 20-14 edge in the series since 2017.
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction
As talented as Manoah is, it’s difficult to back him against a quality team considering his current struggles. The Astros are the pick here. Let’s also go with the hot-hitting Bregman to go over 1.5 total bases in a prop wager.
Picks:
- Astros moneyline (+115)
- Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Season Record: 25-10 (+13.0 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-0 (+2.0) player props; 30-14 (+15.0 units) overall

Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.