Hamburger vs Stuttgart Odds & Prediction – Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs Leg 2

• It’s Hamburger vs Stuttgart in the second leg of the Bundesliga playoff on Monday, June 5
• Stuttgart are massive favorites to retain their Bundesliga place after winning the first leg 3-0
• Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Hamburger vs Stuttgart in the second leg of the Bundesliga promotion/relegation playoff on Monday, June 5, with kick-off in the Volksparkstadion at 2:45pm ET.

The first leg in Stuttgart ended 3-0 to the hosts, so Hamburger have a massive job on their hands if they are to turn this one around and win that prized place in the Bundesliga.

We preview our Hamburger vs Stuttgart picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Hamburger vs Stuttgart Odds

Stuttgart start as the bookmakers’ plus-money favorites at +130, with an implied win probability of 43%, while their visitors are listed at a slightly more generous +185, implied at 35%.  The draw is best priced at +260 in the Hamburger vs Stuttgart odds and is implied at 28%.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on June 4.

Hamburger vs Stuttgart Over/Under and Spread

With the tipping point set at 2.5 goals, the bookies have listed the under in plus money at +120 and the over at a less appealing -165. By implication, they are anticipating an open game with several goals.

Hamburger vs Stuttgart Preview

Only the top two teams in 2.Bundesliga get promoted to the Bundesliga automatically, and so it was heart-breaking for Hamburger to miss out on the final day of the season and finish third by just a single point.

It was doubly disappointing because they finished the campaign with a better goal difference than second-placed Darmstadt, and only a point behind them and league winners, Heideheim. To make it even more painful, Heidenheim secured the title (and promotion) thanks to two injury-time goals.

🎙 | In conclusion, Tim #Walter says: "We have proven our comeback qualities many times – and we want to show them tomorrow as well. With our fans in the wonderful Volkspark, anything is possible!"#nurderHSV #HSVVfB pic.twitter.com/ut6cosN1jT

— HSV English (@HSV_English) June 4, 2023

Huge Challenge for Hamburger

It was, therefore, no big surprise, given all of the above, that Hamburger coach Tim Walter found it hard to lift his players for the first leg, which will no doubt have contributed to their disappointing 3-0 defeat.

Their cause was certainly not helped by conceding a goal in the very first minute of the first leg – Konstantinos Mavropanos grabbing that goal before Hamburger had had a chance to get organized defensively. From there it was an uphill struggle and they went on to concede two more in the opening nine minutes of the second half.

Big Chances Missed for Stuttgart

Stuttgart start the second leg in a very healthy position but head coach Sebastian Hoeness will know his team had more than enough opportunities to have put the tie beyond Hamburger’s reach, including the fact they played against opponents who, for the last 20-plus minutes, had just ten men.

In addition to Hamburger’s Anssi Suhonen seeing red on 69 minutes, Serhou Guirassy missed a first-half penalty for Stuttgart, and numerous other chances were missed. As a result, Hamburger still has a glimmer of hope.

Things. ⚽️
You. 🫵🏼
Love. ❤️‍🔥
To. 💯
See. 👀#VfB | #VfBHSV pic.twitter.com/SZhSnX1vtc

— VfB Stuttgart_int (@VfB_int) June 2, 2023

Hoeness a Stuttgart Game Changer

It has been a very difficult season for Stuttgart but ended on a positive note and with a good run of form following the arrival of Sebastien Hoeness as head coach. In his 11 games in charge, they lost just twice.

This tie is clearly Stuttgart’s to lose, but they will be wary of conceding an early goal and allowing the Volksparkstadion crowd to get motivated and involved in the game. For Hamburger to take this close, this has to happen.

Hamburger vs Stuttgart Team Lineups and Injuries

Hamburger  Projected Lineup: Fernandes, Heyer, David, Schonlau, Muheim, Kittel, Meffert, Reis, Konigsdorffer, Glatzel, Dompe.

Injuries & absences: Katterbach, Benes, Megeed, Nemeth.

Stuttgart Projected Lineup: Muller, Mavropanos, Anton, Ito, Sosa, Vagnoman, Karazor, Endo, Fuhrich, Millot, Guirassy.

Injuries & absences: Bredlow, Kastanaras.

Hamburger vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head Stats

* Stats from Bundesliga official site.

Hamburger vs Stuttgart Prediction

This tie hinges largely on who scores the first goal. If it’s scored by the visitors it’s almost game over but if it goes Hamburger’s way and before halftime, then it’s game on.

On the basis of the hosts getting that goal, it’s quite conceivable they could go on and win the game but not by a margin big enough for them to claim that Bundesliga place. So, for me, there is value in the +185 for the home win.

Stuttgart vs Hamburger Picks: Hamburger to win (+185) / Under 2.5 goals (+120)