Guadalajara vs Tigres Odds & Prediction – Liga MX Clausura Final Leg 2

• It’s Guadalajara vs Tigres in the Liga MX Clausura Final Leg 2 on Sunday, May 24
• With the first leg ending goalless, the 2023 Liga MX Clausura title is in the balance
• Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Guadalajara vs Tigres in the 2023 Liga MX Clausura Final Leg 2 on Sunday, May 25, with kick-off at the Estadio Akron at 9:35 pm ET.

With the first leg in San Nicolás de los Garza ending 0-0, this one remains in the balance and there are still few clues as to the eventual destination of this Liga MX Clausura title

We preview our Guadalajara vs Tigres picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Odds

The bookmakers have Guadalajara listed as +135 favorites for the home win which has an implied win probability of 43%, while Tigres are +215 for the second leg win with a probability of 32%. The draw is also nicely priced at +210 in the Guadalajara vs Tigres odds and is implied at xxx.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on May 26.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Over/Under and Spread

With the tipping point set at 2.5 goals in the game, the bookies have listed the over in plus money at +125 and the under at a less-appealing -170. They, by implication, are anticipating another tight game with few goals.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Preview

It was no surprise that the first leg of this final was close and goalless. Both semifinals had low-scoring first legs (1-1 and 1-0) and this was never going to be any different, but it was Guadalajara who came away the most relieved of the two after being dominated by Tigres and having just 32 percent of the possession. They had just seven shots compared to Tigres’ 14.

So Guadalajara head coach Veljko Paunovic will be content that his team emerged with a clean sheet and will now be hoping they can use home advantage to get the job done.  But to do so they will need to get more than a single shot on target, as they did in the first leg, albeit Guadalajara also only had one.

🇫🇷 CON ESTE EQUIPO HASTA EL FINAL 🇫🇷#90MinutosDeUnión 🤜🤛 pic.twitter.com/nM6hNHQLpQ

— CHIVAS (@Chivas) May 26, 2023

Paunovic Hoping for an Azteza-Type Performance

Paunovic will be demanding of his men a repeat of their performance in the second leg of the semifinal when, after losing the first and home leg 1-0 to Club America, they went to the world-famous Azteca Stadium and, in front of a crowd of over 67,000, produced their best form to dramatically win 3-1.

The dynamic is different in that they are on home terrain in this second leg, but a similar level of performance would likely be enough to claim the trophy.

Tigres to Regret Not Winning at Home?

For Tigres, the first leg was one that got away, and their failure to turn their 68 percent of possession and 14 shots into at least one goal may come back to haunt them. But, it’s also worth noting that despite finishing the regular season down in seventh place, they have played their best soccer of the season in the playoffs. They just need to find one more huge performance.

En route to this final have already overcome Monterrey – the number one seeds and the team that finished top of the regular season table – after drawing 1-1 in the first (home) leg and then pulling off one of the results of the season to win 1-0 in the away tie. So Tigres be hoping that history can repeat itself.

¡Con la fe intacta y el corazón sobre todo! pic.twitter.com/vzUzMCRM55

— Club Tigres 🐯 (@TigresOficial) May 26, 2023

More Head-To-Head Wins for UANL

In terms of heads-to-heads between these two, Tigres have the upper hand overall, with 12 wins from their 28 games, while Guadalajara have won just six, but crucially the hosts have had the better of their most recent meetings – winning two of the last three.

Everything points to this being very close, with extra time and even penalties a possibility.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Team Lineups and Injuries

Guadalajara Projected Lineup: Jiminez, Orozco, Briseno, Sepulveda, Mozo, Vega, Alvarado, Gonzalez, Beltran, Brizuela, Guzman.

Injuries & absences: Macias.

Tigres  Projected Lineup: Guzman, Aquino, Pizarro, Reyes, Angulo, Carioca, Gorriaran, Quinones, Cordova, Lainez, Gignac.

Injuries & absences: Ayala, Ortega, Santos.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Head-to-Head Stats

* Stats from WhoScored.com.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Prediction

This promises to be close but Tigres have very recent experience of overcoming an underwhelming home leg and then getting the job done in the away tie.

For me, at better than 2/1, the value here is with the away win and Tigres winning the trophy without the need for extra time or pens.

Guadalajara vs Tigres Picks: Tigres to win (+215) / Over 2.5 goals (+125)