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Formula 1 2023 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

By Daniel Coyle in Racing

Published:


Red Bull driver Max Verstappen on the track
May 7, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Red Bull driver Max Verstappen (1) of the Netherlands leads Aston Martin driver Fernando Alonso (14) of Spain during the Miami Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
  • F1 racing resumes this weekend with the running of the 2023 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix
  • Max Verstappen has won the past two editions of this race and returns as the favorite in the F1 odds
  • Read on for all the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix predictions, odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s race at Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari

Formula 1 racing returns after a two-week break with this weekend’s running of the 2023 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix. Max Verstappen has tallied back-to-back wins at this event, and arrives in Italy sporting a narrow lead atop the F1 Drivers Standings. However, he continues to face a stiff challenge from his Red Bull teammate Sergio Perez, who is riding high after finishing second last time out at the Miami Grand Prix. and also drove to second place behind Verstappen at this race a year ago.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of the running of the 2023 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix on Sunday afternoon, with race time set for 7:30am ET at Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari.

Odds to Win 2023 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top Ten
Max Verstappen -250 -450 -650 -1000
Sergio Perez +330 -280 -550 -800
Fernando Alonso +1200 -150 -500 -750
Lewis Hamilton +1800 +150 -450 -700
George Russell +2200 +225 -450 -700
Charles Leclerc +2200 +200 -280 -450
Carlos Sainz Jr. +4200 +475 -165 -450
Lance Stroll +10000 +1800 +120 -280
Valtteri Bottas +50000 +13000 +2200 +550
Pierre Gasly +50000 +4500 +425 -225
Lando Norris +50000 +5000 +550 -175
Kevin Magnusson +50000 +15000 +1200 +180
Esteban Ocon +50000 +4500 +425 -225
Niko Hulkenberg +80000 +15000 +1100 +160
Yuki Tsunoda +90000 +15000 +1600 +225
Oscar Piastri +90000 +13000 +1400 +300
Nyck de Vries +90000 +25000 +3500 +800
Logan Sargent +90000 +25000 +4000 +900
Guanyu Zhou +90000 +20000 +2800 +650
Alex Albon +90000 +15000 +1400 +160

As expected, Red Bull Racing once again dominates the top of the odds, with Verstappen perched as a short -250 chalk to complete the three-peat at Imola, while Perez sits second as a lucrative +330 second favorite. Fernando Alonso follows at +1200, well ahead of Lewis Hamilton, who sports +1800 odds to earn his first victory at this race since 2020.

 

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Finding Value in Red Bull’s Odds

The Red Bull Racing duo of Verstappen and Perez has been simply dominant so far this season. Verstappen has won three of the first five races of the season, while “Checo” took home the checkered flag in the other two races and trails the defending champion in the Standings by just 14 points.

While his short odds to win Sunday’s race may discourage sports bettors from backing Verstappen, there is plenty of value to be found among race props involving the champ, especially considering his history at this event. In addition to claiming victory in the past two editions of this race, Verstappen also claimed both the pole and the fastest lap a year ago. And considering his recent pace, the 25-year-old Dutchman should not be overlooked as a +100 wager to win and drive the fastest lap once again.

With four top-two finishes so far this season, Checo has proved that he is a legitimate challenger for this year’s F1 title and should be on every sports bettors ticket as a +330 bet to earn his third win of the season on Sunday in Ebola.

Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Winner Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2021 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 2.975 sec Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing
2021 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 22.000 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2020 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 25.592 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes

Can Alonso Breakthrough in Imola

Fernando Alonso’s magical season at Aston martin continued in Miami with his fourth third-place finish of the season. The 41-year-old has emerged as the most consistent threat to Red Bull’s dominance, and current sits third in the F1 Drivers Standings. However, Alonso has struggled at this race, finishing 10th in his debut two years ago and retiring due to a collision a year ago.

Capturing the top of the podium may be too much to ask, but if Alonso and his Aston Martin teammate Lance Stroll can avoid some of the technical and tactical issues that have plagued them at times this season, they are worth backing as a +165 bet to produce their third double top six finish of the season.

The Picks: Max Verstappen to win and fastest lap (+100); Red Bull double podium finish (-150); Aston Martin double top six (+165)

 

Daniel Coyle
Daniel Coyle

Sports Writer

Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.

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