The Honda Classic Odds to Make the Cut

• Make and miss the cut odds are live for the Honda Classic which starts on Thursday
• Aaron Wise has missed back-to-back cuts, and ranks 86th in the field in ball striking over the past 12 rounds
• Check out the Honda Classic make and miss the cut odds for the top players in the field

The PGA Tour’s Florida swing begins on Thursday with a stop at PGA National. The Jack Nicklaus redesign is one of the most challenging courses on Tour, and one that routinely yields carnage.

Water is in play on 15 of the 18 holes at the Honda Classic, with a whopping 1,600 balls finding the drink on the three-hole Bear Trap stretch since 2007.

Perhaps it’s the difficulty of the test, or perhaps it’s because the tournament is sandwiched in between two elevated events, that this year’s field is so weak.

Just three of the top-30 players in the world will tee it up this week. That means the top of the field is nowhere near as strong as it usually is, and the most expensive players on the oddsboard are much more likely to miss the cut.

The Honda Classic Make the Cut Odds

Sungjae Im, the 2020 champ and current favorite, has the longest odds to trunk slam, however he failed to make the weekend just last year as one of the favorites. You can poke holes in all the names at the top of the board, but one player stands out above the rest as a clear fade.

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It’s Wise to Fade Aaron

That would be Aaron Wise. The 26-year-old has missed two straight cuts, yet still sports juicy +275 odds to trunk slam this week.

Wise missed the cut at last year’s Honda Classic, and the way he’s striking the ball it would be surprising if he made the weekend this year.

Aaron Wise Strokes Gained – Last 4 Events

Wise ranks 86th in the field in ball striking over the past 12 rounds. He’s 53rd off the tee during the stretch, which is supposed to be the strength of his game.

Wise has been staying afloat thanks to his short game, but we shouldn’t expect that to continue now that we’re back on Bermuda greens. He’s a negative putter on Bermuda surfaces over the course of his career, and has failed to make the cut in two of his past four events in the state of Florida.

Pick: Aaron Wise to Miss the Cut (+275)

Make the Cut Parlay

While we’re fading Wise, there’s plenty of golfers we trust this week. At the top of that list is Billy Horschel, who excels in Florida and is the first leg of our make the cut parlay. Horschel has a pair of top-16’s at this event over the last three years, and his last three Florida starts have produced results of second, 16th, and 25th.

Next up, let’s add Jhonattan Vegas to our ticket. The Venezuelan ranks third in the field in ball striking over the past 12 rounds, and third in strokes gained tee to green. He’s made nine of 10 cuts at PGA National, advancing to the weekend in each of his past six appearances.

"You basically try not to hit it in the water. You just pick your safe targets and you hit an aggressive shot at your safe targets." – Sepp Straka

"It's hard to be aggressive around here. There's always trouble around the corner." – Jhonattan Vegas

"Some of those holes, you’re… pic.twitter.com/d83vLDha27

— Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) February 21, 2023

Adam Svensson will be our third leg, after an impressive showing last week at The Genesis. The Canadian produced a ninth place result, which is the same position he finished at the Honda Classic last year. Svensson gained an astounding 11.8 strokes tee to green at PGA National in 2022, but was -4.6 on the greens. If he figures out the putter this week he’ll be a threat to win for the second time in three months.

Finally, let’s throw in J.T. Poston. The two-time winner on Tour has four top-21 finishes in his past six starts, and excels on Bermuda greens. Poston gains an average of 0.3 strokes on the field per round on Bermuda putting surfaces, and ranks 19th in the field in scoring over the past 12 rounds.

Add it all up and we’re looking at a +275 payday if all four of our golfers advance to the weekend.

Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+275)