FIFA Club World Cup Final – Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Odds & Prediction

• It’s Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal in the final of the 2023 FIFA Club World Cup on Saturday, February 11
• Los Blancos start as massive favorites but for Saudi Arabia’s Al-Hilal it’s their first final
• Find our Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal in the 2023 FIFA Club World Cup final in the Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat, Morocco on Saturday, February 4 (KO  2pm ET).

For Los Blancos, it’s their fifth final – four of which were won – while for Al-Hilal this is their third tournament appearance but first-ever final.

We preview our Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Odds

Odds as of Feb 10 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Use this BetMGM Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

The bookmakers are anticipating a comfortable win for Los Blancos with the win inside regular time listed at -370 with a probability of 78%. The Al-Hilal win is listed at a massive +850 with an implied probability of just over 1 in 10, while the draw is pitched at +525, with an implied probability of 16%. Real are -900 to lift the trophy, implied at a huge 90%.

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Over/Under and Spread

The oddsmakers’ expectation of an easy Madrid win is reflected in the over/under odds, with over 3.5 goals listed only just in plus money at +120, while the under is on offer at -172.

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Club World Cup Final Preview

It’s been four years since Real Madrid last lifted this trophy but they remain the most decorated club in this competition’s history, having won it in 2014, 2016, 2017 and 2018. After earning their place in this season’s tournament by winning the 2022 UEFA Champions League, they qualified for the final by beating Al Ahly 4-1 in Wednesday’s semi.

A goal either side of halftime – from Vinicius Junior and Federico Valverde – effectively put the semifinal out of the reach of the Egyptians and, even though they gave themselves a glimmer of hope by pulling one back midway through the second half, Real’s place in the final was confirmed with injury-time goals from Rodrygo and Sergio Arribas.

🎥🆕 INSIDE TRAINING 🆕🎥
💪‍ Preparing for the Cub World Cup Final! 🏃
🔜 #ClubWC pic.twitter.com/KDYpLyW5se

— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) February 9, 2023

Record-Breaking Los Blancos

The win over Al Ahly was much-needed for Carlo Ancelotti’s men who last weekend dropped vital La Liga points when losing 1-0 away to Mallorca. It left Real’s La Liga hopes’ hanging by a thread – now eight points behind leaders Barcelona – so they will be doubly determined to land this trophy and win their silverware of the season.

Los Blancos’ record in this competition is outstanding. In addition to winning it a record four times, they have scored more goals (32) and won more games (10) than any other team.

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Head-to-Head Stats

First Saudis Ever in Club Cup Final

Al-Hilal’s outstanding 3-2 win over Flamengo in Tuesday’s semifinal means they are the first Saudi Arabian team ever to reach the final of this competition. They had narrowly qualified for the semi with a 5-3 win on penalties over Moroccan team side Wydad AC, but the win over the Brazilian giants was on another level.

Two first-half penalties from Salem Al-Dawsari and a third from Luciano Vietto were enough to give the Saudis the win although they were helped by Flamengo’s midfielder Gerson picking up a red card in first-half injury time. Despite the Brazilians responding with two goals from Pedro, it was the Saudis who booked their place in the final.

🫡#AlHilal 💙#AlHilal_inWorldCup 🌍 pic.twitter.com/kn2tdAV0HU

— AlHilal Saudi Club (@Alhilal_EN) February 9, 2023

Al-Hilal in Fine Form

This is the Blue Waves’ third World Club Cup but their best showing by some way. In their previous two tournaments – 2019 and 2021 – they finished fourth both times, losing to Al Ahly and Monterrey in the third-place play-offs.

Worth noting is that, despite being massive underdogs, the Saudis are in great form and have only lost twice in their 19 competitive games so far this season. This will likely be closer than the odds suggest.

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Team Lineups and Injuries

Real Madrid Projected Lineup: Lunin, Carvajal, Nacho, Rudiger, Alaba, Kroos, Tchouameni, Modric, Valverde, Rodrygo, Vinicius Jr.

Injuries & absences: Mendy, Hazard, Vazquez.

Al-Hilal Projected Lineup: Al-Mayouf, Abdulhamid, Jang, Al-Bulaihi, Al-Dawsari (K), Kanno, Cuellar, Marega, Vietto, Al-Dawsari (S), Ighalo.

Injuries & absences: Carillo (doubtful).

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Club World Cup Final Prediction

The ruthless way Los Blancos overcame Al Ahly will not have been lost on the management and players Al-Hilal. While their performance in beating Flamengo was one of their best ever, in order to repeat the feat against the mighty Real Madrid they will need to take it up another level.

There’s little value, however, in betting on the Real Madrid win and so, for me, the way to go is gambling on the Saudis keeping it super-tight over the 90 minutes and taking it to extra time. The +525 on offer is tempting.

Pick: Real Madrid and Al-Hilal to draw after 90 minutes (+525)