RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Odds & Picks – Bundesliga Jan 20

• RB Leipzig hosts Bayern Munich in the first match of the Bundesliga restart on January 20th at 2:30 pm ET
• Bayern has a four-point cushion in top spot of Germany’s top flight, while RB Leipzig sits six points back in third place
• Get more RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich odds and predictions below

The Bundesliga returns on Friday afternoon with RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich kicking off at 2:30 pm ET. Both of these teams have not played competitively in over two months as a result of the World Cup and German winter break.

Nonetheless, before the break, they both were on stunning runs of form. Bayern had rattled off ten victories in a row in all competitions, while RB Leipzig put together an impressive 9-1-0 record, over the same span.

While RB Leipzig has played as Bayern’s biggest challengers to the Meisterschale in recent years, they have not had much head-to-head luck. In fact, they have only registered one victory against Friday’s opponents, which was a 2-1 affair in 2018.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Odds

Odds as of January 18th from Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this match and claim a unique sign-up bonus. 

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Overall, Bayern Munich are the convincing moneyline favorites here in the RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich picks with odds of -124. In other words, the Bavarians have a 55.4% implied win probability on Friday afternoon.

This is great value on the moneyline considering Bayern have won 66.6% of their 15 games against RB Leipzig, across all competitions. Their most recent meeting was a 5-3 goal-fest in the German Super Cup, which went in favor of the ten-time defending Bundesliga champions.

Currently, Bayern Munich has -5000 Bundesliga odds to win the Bundesliga, with a whopping 19 games left on the fixture list.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Over/Under

Next, goals are to be expected in this German heavyweight bout. The over on 3.5 goals has plus odds of +105, while the reverse option sits at a juicier -135. In their last 20 combined matches in all competitions, the over on this total has hit 65% of the time. Additionally, four of their last five head-to-head meetings have also toppled this goal tally. With two backup keepers in net for this one, I would buckle in for a fun 90 minutes.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Statistics

Stats in the table from 2022/23 Bundesliga play.

Leroy Sane Goalscorer Odds

Another play I like in my RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich picks is Leroy Sane to score anytime, with odds of +200. To start, the former Man City winger has scored in two out of his last three matches versus Die Rotten Bullen. Sane is also the sixth most favored player to score on either side in the RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich odds, despite his ten goals already this season.

While Sane enjoyed a great spell of form in October, he has not scored in six straight matches. He is over a stomach bug that bothered him earlier in the week and the restart gives him a perfect chance to get back in the goals. All in all, at +200, this is a tremendous half-unit play for Friday for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich predictions.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Projected Lineups and Injuries

RB Leipzig Projected Lineup: Blaswich, Raum, Gvardiol, Orban, Simakan, Forsberg, Haidara, Schlager, Szoboszlai, Olmo, Silva

Major Injuries & Absences: Nkunku, Gulacsi, Werner (questionable), Diallo (questionable)

Bayern Munich Projected Lineup: Ulreich, Davies, Upamecano, de Ligt, Pavard, Kimmich, Goretzka, Musiala, Sane, Choupo-Moting, Gnabry

Major Injuries & Absences: Neuer, Mane, Hernandez, Mazraoui, Sarr

RB Leipzig’s Attack is Depleted

Even with a two-month break in play, injuries will influence this match heavily. Julian Nagelsmann has his own injuries to worry about, but Bayern’s depth should suffice here.

Conversely, RB Leipzig are playing without some key components to their team. For one, Peter Gulacsi is out in net which means Janis Blaswich will take his place between the sticks. Blaswich is a veteran but has conceded eight goals in his last six matches for Leipzig.

The Bundesliga is almost back! Head coach Marco Rose speaks to the media ahead of #RBLFCB:

"We had a really strong finish to the first half of the season, but there's nothing else we can get from it now. We have to start from scratch again and that's what we'll do." pic.twitter.com/FXJPkN6Rvz

— RB Leipzig English (@RBLeipzig_EN) January 19, 2023

Furthermore, Marco Rose will also be without Christopher Nkunku and Timo Werner on Friday. Those two players alone account for 45.6% of the team’s entire goal tally in all competitions. It leaves Andre Silva and most likely Dani Olmo with the brunt of the attacking duties. Against a fresh Bayern defense, this mismatch is where things go south for the underdogs.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction

To wrap things up, I am riding with the three aforementioned RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich picks. Bayern Munich should win this handily, there should be tons of goals and Leroy Sane is good value to get one of the goals.

Pick: Bayern Munich moneyline (-124), O3.5 goals (+105), Sane to score (+200)