Chargers vs Colts Props – Best Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football Week 16
By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Updated: March 16, 2023 at 12:32 pm EDTPublished:
- Monday Night Football Chargers vs Colts player props are live ahead of tonight’s matchup
- Can LA hold Michael Pittman Jr. under 67.5 receiving yards? Will Zack Moss fail to reach 60 rushing yards?
- Don’t miss the Chargers vs Colts player prop picks and analysis below
The Chargers can move one step closer to clinching a playoff spot tonight when they travel to Indy to face the Colts. Matt Ryan has been put on ice by interim coach Jeff Saturday, meaning LA will get to tee off on Nick Foles, a man who has yet to throw a pass in a single game this season.
The Chargers’ defense is all of a sudden playing its best football of the season, and their recent form, combined with a new QB under center for Indy has us fading Colts skill position players in the Chargers vs Colts player props.
Chargers vs Colts Player Props
| Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | OFF | 279.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120) |
| Nick Foles (IND) | 19.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 229.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -170) |
| Running Backs | Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush + Rec Yards |
| Austin Ekeler (LAC) | OFF | 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 90.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Deon Jackson (IND) | 7.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Zack Moss (IND) | 13.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Wide Receivers + Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Keenan Allen (LAC) | 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) | 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Mike Williams (LAC) | OFF | 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Josh Palmer (LAC) | OFF | 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Gerald Everett (LAC) | 3.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Alec Pierce (IND) | 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) | 36.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) | 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 67.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Paris Campbell (IND) | OFF | 38.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| Jelani Woods (IND) | OFF | 19.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Odds as of December 26 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code to bet on your MNF player props.
Foles currently has a passing yards prop of 229.5, which is 50 yards less than Chargers QB Justin Herbert. The 2017 Super Bowl MVP’s number one target, Michael Pittman Jr. boasts a receiving yards over/under of 67.5, the highest of any player, and that is simply too high given the circumstances.
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MNF Prop #1: Michael Pittman Jr. Under 67.5 Receiving Yards
Foles hasn’t thrown a pass since Boxing Day last year, when he made a spot start for the Bears. It’s fair to question what kind of chemistry he’ll have with the Colts receivers, and expecting Pittman Jr. to produce at a high level seems unrealistic.
Pittman Jr. has failed to exceed 61 receiving yards in three straight games. He’s topped 67.5 receiving yards only three times all season, and just once since October 16th. Last week facing the Vikings, the NFL’s worst pass defense, he mustered only 60 receiving yards, while averaging a dismal 6.0 yards per catch.
The Duke Shelley experience. pic.twitter.com/gJs9Lt3uL0
— Alec Lewis (@alec_lewis) December 18, 2022
LA’s defense didn’t allow a single Titans wide receiver to reach 20 yards in Week 15, and have allowed the sixth fewest yards to opposing wide receivers this season.
Pick: Michael Pittman Jr. Under 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115), 1 unit
MNF Prop #2: Zach Moss Under 59.5 Rushing Yards
Five. That is the number of games with more than 59.5 rushing yards on Zach Moss’ career resume. Of course, he’s never really had a starting role before, but we should be careful assuming he’s going to see the lion’s share of the carries tonight.
Moss is coming off an 18-carry performance versus Minnesota, but let’s not forget the Colts jumped out to a 33-0 lead. Indy is a 4-point underdog tonight, and chances are extremely high game script won’t be in their favor.
.@chargers @breidenfehoko4 suddenly the interior of this #Bolts defense is better and more sound when Fehoko plays the NT. Suddenly the big runs that has shredded this defense aren’t happening #polynesianpower #BaldysBreakdowns pic.twitter.com/3dtyUZ551t
— Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) December 19, 2022
Also working against him is the fact that two other Indy RB’s are going to see work. Deon Jackson and Jordan Wilkins will steal carries from Moss, and the former Buffalo Bill won’t play on the majority of third downs. That means he’s going to likely have to rely on efficiency not volume to get the job done. I’ll bet against that all day.
Pick: Zack Moss Under 59.5 Rushing Yards (-115), 1 unit
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Chargers vs Colts TD Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler (LAC) | +450 | -155 |
| Keenan Allen (LAC) | +800 | +135 |
| Mike Williams (LAC) | +850 | +145 |
| Zack Moss (IND) | +850 | +125 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) | +1100 | +175 |
| Deon Jackson (IND) | +1600 | +260 |
| Joshua Kelley (LAC) | +1600 | +285 |
| Parris Campbell (IND) | +1600 | +270 |
| Gerald Everett (LAC) | +1600 | +285 |
| Alec Pierce (IND) | +1900 | +320 |
| Jelani Woods (IND) | +2000 | +360 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | +2200 | +450 |
| Chargers Defense | +2500 | +500 |
| Mo Alie-Cox (IND) | +2800 | +450 |
| Colts Defense | +3500 | +700 |
| Donald Parham Jr. (LAC) | +3500 | +750 |
| Nick Foles (IND) | +4500 | +900 |
As far as the anytime TD market goes, Austin Ekeler’s price is simply too short despite him being the clear favorite on the board.
MNF Prop #3: Austin Ekeler Anytime TD
Ekeler has scored in back-to-back games, and in nine of his past 11 outings overall. He’s tied for the league lead with 14 touchdowns and is arguably the best dual threat RB in the game. He’s scored nine times on the ground and five times through the air, making him an absolute nightmare to defend.
NFL Touchdown Leaders
| Player | TD |
|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler (LAC) | 14 |
| Jamaal Williams (DET) | 14 |
| Derrick Henry (TEN) | 13 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 13 |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | 12 |
The Colts have allowed 15 total touchdowns to enemy running backs, and Ekeler is a serious threat to score multiple times under the primetime lights.
Pick: Austin Ekeler Anytime TD (-155), 1 unit, 2+ TD (+340), 0.5 units
This Week’s Player Props Record: 2-1, +0.74 units
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
