Formula 1 2022 Belgian Grand Prix Odds & Picks

By Daniel Coyle in Racing
Published:

- Can Max Verstappen make it four in a row when he hits the track for the Dutch Grand Prix as the betting favorite?
- With Verstappen sporting a commanding lead, the focus has shifted to the race for second place in the F1 Drivers Standings
- Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s running of the 2022 Dutch Grand prix at Circuit Zandvoort
The race to finish second in this year’s Formula 1 Driver Standings heats up this weekend, with the running of the 2022 Dutch Grand Prix. In the wake of his master class performance while driving to a third straight win in last weekend’s Belgian Grand Prix, Max Verstappen now sports a massive 94-point lead atop the standings, and has also emerged as a heavy -200 favorite to claim victory in Holland for a second straight year.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s running of the 2022 Cutch Grand Prix at 9:00am ET at Circuit Zandvoort.
Odds to Win 2022 Dutch Grand Prix
Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six | Odds to Finish Top Ten |
---|---|---|---|---|
Max Verstappen | -200 | -400 | -700 | -800 |
Charles Leclerc | +370 | -190 | -450 | -550 |
Carlos Sainz Jr. | +900 | -105 | -450 | -550 |
Lewis Hamilton | +1200 | +130 | -450 | -550 |
Sergio Perez | +1200 | -105 | -450 | -550 |
George Russell | +1800 | +175 | -450 | -550 |
Lando Norris | +15000 | +1800 | +110 | -330 |
Fernando Alonso | +15000 | +1800 | +100 | -360 |
Esteban Ocon | +30000 | +4000 | +185 | -280 |
Daniel Ricciardo | +30000 | +4000 | +650 | +135 |
Valtteri Bottas | +50000 | +8000 | +900 | +125 |
Sebastian Vettel | +50000 | +5000 | +1100 | -105 |
Pierre Gasly | +50000 | +8000 | +750 | +150 |
Lance Stroll | +50000 | +5500 | +1200 | +185 |
Kevin Magnussen | +50000 | +8000 | +1200 | +165 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +90000 | +20000 | +3500 | +330 |
Alex Albon | +90000 | +15000 | +3500 | +225 |
Nicholas Latifi | +90000 | +25000 | +10000 | +1600 |
Mick Schumacher | +900000 | +15000 | +2800 | +330 |
Guanyu Zhou | +90000 | +20000 | +3500 | +330 |
Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of September 1, 2022.
As Verstappen pulls away from the pack, F1 betting fans face an increasing challenge to find value further down the odds board. Indeed, while Charles Leclerc sits second to Verstappen as a +370 bet, his recent uneven performances have inspired little confidence in the Ferrari’s ability to recapture the form that earned him victories in two of this season’s first three races.
Checo Podium-Bound Once Again?
Currently just 21 points separate four drivers in the hunt for second place in the F1 Drivers Standings, with Sergio Perez currently holding the edge after finishing second behind his Red Bull teammate last weekend. “Checo” has powered his rise in the standings with a consistent season-long performance that has featured top five finishes in all but one of the 12 races he has been classified in this season.
Charles Leclerc finished sixth at the Belgian GP and lost 2nd place in the Drivers' standings to Sergio Perez ⬇️⬆️#F1 #BelgianGP #MotorsportStats #Motorsport pic.twitter.com/3fViMxlMeQ
— Motorsport.com (@Motorsport) August 28, 2022
Despite last week’s solid drive, Checo lags as an attractive +1200 bet to claim his second win of the season this weekend. However, the better value can be found in his attractive -105 odds to reach the podium for the eighth time. Perez’s consistency also makes a wager on another Red Bull double podium finish a must, with those odds currently sitting at +105.
Fade Leclerc
With his fast start to the 2022 campaign now all but a distant memory, it is tough to justify backing Charles Leclerc to launch his comeback this weekend among the dunes of Zandvoort. After finishing top two in four of the first five races of the season, Leclerc has managed to reach the podium just once in nine subsequent outings. Those struggles have extended to qualifying, where he has won just once in six outings after seizing the pole in six of the season’s first eight events.
. @Charles_Leclerc : "We started well, then on lap 3 we unfortunately had a tear-off in the brake duct that meant I had to pit when I was in P9. That set us back quite a bit. From that moment on, I knew that it was going to be a difficult race."#F1 #BelgianGP 🇧🇪 #Charles16 pic.twitter.com/wrflwrE16S
— Charles Leclerc Fan Page (@LeclercNews) August 28, 2022
Of course, dubious team orders and technical problems have played a huge role. That was the case again last week, when debris became lodged in the brake duct of Leclerc’s Ferrari, forcing him to make an early pit stop. However, inexplicable driver errors have also cursed Leclerc, who was saddled with a five-second penalty at the end of last week’s race for speeding in the pit lane, which dumped him to sixth place.
A 3rd place podium in Belgium gives Carlos Sainz the lead! 💪🏻#F1 #CarlosSainz #charlesleclerc #ScuderiaFerrari pic.twitter.com/wLMr0jC5OK
— Sportskeeda F1 (@SportskeedaF1) August 30, 2022
While Leclerc sags, his teammate Carlos Sainz Jr. has emerged as the best hope for Ferrari. The talented Spaniard impressed while claiming the pole last week in Belgium. And since turning in a pair of early-season DNFs that had more to do with his driving than technical problems, Sainz has emerged as a constant threat to reach the podium, finishing top five in eight of the last 10 races. As a result, he cannot be ignored as a -105 bet to reach the podium this weekend.
Dutch Grand Prix Recent Winners
Year | Driver | Margin of Victory | Pole Position | Fastest Lap |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 20.932 sec | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes |
1986-2020 | Race not held |
Russell Remains Consistent
With nine drivers getting tagged with penalties to start last week’s race, opportunity knocked for George Russell. However, a disappointing qualifying session forced the 24-yar-old Englishman to settle for the No. 8 spot on the starting grid. Undaunted, Russell did what he has done all season, turn in a steady drive, but with little hope of keeping pace with the Red Bulls, he was forced to settle for fourth place.
📊 | @GeorgeRussell63 has finished in the Top 5 in every race he has completed at least 1 lap this year 👊
🇧🇭 – P4
🇸🇦 – P5
🇦🇺 – P3 🥉
🇮🇹 – P4
🇺🇸 – P5
🇪🇸 – P3 🥉
🇲🇨 – P5
🇦🇿 – P3 🥉
🇨🇦 – P4
🇬🇧 – DNF
🇦🇹 – P4
🇫🇷 – P3 🥉
🇭🇺 – P3 🥉
🇧🇪 – P4 #F1 #GR63 pic.twitter.com/lgGjectOyE— Team George Russell (@TeamGR63) August 31, 2022
With 10 finishes among the top four so far this season, a trip to the top of the podium is inevitable for Russell. It just won’t be this weekend. However, there are still solid betting options available for fans of the budding Mercedes star. The most attractive can be found buried among the race props, where a wager on Russell joining former F1 champion Fernando Alonso among the top six pays out on +135 odds.
The Picks: Max Verstappen to win (-200); Carlos Sainz podium finish (-105); Russell & Alonso both in top six (+135)
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Sports Writer
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.