Dodgers vs Mets Picks & Odds (Sep. 1)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Dodgers are -155 road favorites over the Mets on Thursday
- Lefty Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.64) will start for Los Angeles against Chris Bassitt (11-7, 3.34)
- A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
In the deciding game of a three-game series between two of the best teams in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Mets at 4:10 p.m. ET Thursday at Citi Field.
The Mets (83-48, 44-21) edged the Dodgers 2-1 on the Wednesday night to even the series at one game each and win for the fourth time in their last six games. The Dodgers (90-39, 45-23 road) had their three-game winning streak snapped and lost for just the third time in their last 12 games.
The Dodgers lead the National League West by a whopping 18.5 games over the San Diego Padres. The Mets are three game in front of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East.
Dodgers vs Mets Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -155 | -1.5 (+110) | Over 8 (-105) |
| New York Mets | +125 | +1.5 (-135) | Under 8 (-115) |
Odds as of August 31st at BetMGM.
The Dodgers are -155 favorites, giving them a 60.78% implied win probability. The Dodgers are +350 favorites in the World Series odds and the Mets are close behind at +550.
It should be a gorgeous day at Citi Field with the weather forecast calling for a high temperature of 82 degrees, sunny and northwest wind from 9-13 mph.
LAD vs NYM Probable Pitchers
Left-hander Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.64) is scheduled to pitch for the Dodgers against Chris Bassitt (11-7, 3.34). Kershaw has been on the injured list since Aug. 5 with lower back pain. Bassitt will be working on five days of rest.
Kershaw vs Bassitt
| 7-3 | Record | 11-7 |
| 2.64 | ERA | 3.34 |
| 2.65 | xERA | 3.21 |
| 0.98 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 5.87 | SO/W | 3.76 |
Kershaw last pitched Aug. 4, leaving his start against the Giants after four innings in San Francisco. He gave up two runs (one earned) on three hits with four strikeouts and one walk.
Before being injured, Kershaw was 0-1 with a 5.27 ERA in his last three starts. That didn’t deter his interest in tennis.
Good to have @claytonkersh22 in the house!@dodgers | #USOpen pic.twitter.com/IvxjaESeh1
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) August 31, 2022
Kershaw has an outstanding 11-1 record against the Mets with a 2.24 ERA in 17 starts. At Citi Field, he is 5-0 with a 1.78 ERA in eight outings.
On the road this season, Kershaw is 5-3 with a 2.50 ERA in nine starts. He is 4-1 with a 1.83 ERA in eight starts during the day. The Dodgers are 9-6 in Kershaw’s starts.
Bassitt is coming off an outstanding August in which he was 4-0 with a 1.52 ERA in five starts. He had a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies last Friday at Citi Field when he allowed four runs and eight hits in 7.1 innings while striking out one and walking one.
Bassitt has lost both career starts against the Dodgers with a 5.25 ERA.
His NL Cy Young odds are +25000. That endears Bassitt to his teammates.
Chris Bassitt gets the handshakes after an incredible outing: pic.twitter.com/RBLZavzfBG
— SNY Mets (@SNY_Mets) June 15, 2022
In 13 starts in Flushing this season, Bassitt has a 4-5 mark and 2.75 ERA. He is 6-1 with a 2.37 ERA in eight starts in the daytime. The Mets are playing at a .667 clip when Bassitt pitches with a 16-8 record.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Chris Bassitt |
|---|---|
| Austin Barnes | .667 |
| Justin Turner | .500 |
| Cody Bellinger | .500 |
| Max Muncy | .500 |
| Joey Gallo | .364 |
| Freddie Freeman | .333 |
| Trea Turner | .333 |
| Mookie Betts | .143 |
| Gavin Lux | .000 |
| Chris Taylor | .000 |
| Will Smith | .000 |
| Hanser Alberto | .000 |
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Clayton Kershaw |
| Mark Canha | .333 |
| Pete Alonso | .333 |
| Tomas Nido | .333 |
| Starling Marte | .222 |
| Eduardo Escobar | .200 |
| Darin Ruf | .118 |
| Francisco Lindor | .000 |
| Jeff McNeil | .000 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .000 |
The Dodgers’ Joey Gallo is 4 for 11 (.364) against Bassitt with one double and two home runs while Mookie Betts is just 1 for 7. The Mets’ Darin Ruf has struggled against Kershaw, hitting .118 (2 for 17) with a homer.
Dodgers vs Mets Betting Trends
Starling Marte hit a two-run home run to account for all the Mets’ scoring Wednesday night when they edged the Dodgers by a run.
Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor added two hits each for the Mets. And Edwin Diaz got the save to the strains of Timmy Trumpet, which made Mr. & Mrs. Met ecstatic.
Sound ‘em! 🎺 @TimmyTrumpet | @SugarDiaz39 pic.twitter.com/NEqEztrzn2
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 1, 2022
Mookie Betts homered for the Dodgers, who were held to three singles.
The Mets placed rookie third baseman Brent Baty on the injured list before the game after learning he will need season-ending surgery to repair the ulnar collateral ligament in his right thumb. Outfielder and pinch runner extraordinaire Terrance Gore was called up from Triple-A Syracuse.
The teams have split six games this season. However, since losing to the Mets in a 2015 National League Division Series, the Dodgers are 28-11 against New York.
LAD vs NYM Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/31/22 | Mets | Dodgers | NYM, 2-1 |
| 8/30/22 | Mets | Dodgers | LAD, 4-3 |
| 6/5/22 | Dodgers | Mets | NYM, 5-4 |
| 6/4/22 | Dodgers | Mets | NYM, 9-4 |
| 6/3/22 | Dodgers | Mets | LAD, 6-1 |
| 6/2/22 | Dodgers | Mets | LAD, 2-0 |
| 8/22/21 | Dodgers | Mets | NYM, 7-2 |
| 8/21/21 | Dodgers | Mets | LAD, 4-3 |
| 8/20/21 | Dodgers | Mets | LAD, 3-2 |
| 8/19/21 | Dodgers | Mets | LAD, 4-1 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction
It’s easy to wonder if Kershaw will be rusty without the benefit of making at least one rehab start in the minor leagues. That adds to the attractiveness of the Mets, especially with Bassitt coming off a big month as an underdog.
Pick: Mets ML (+125)Â
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
