Leicester City vs Manchester United Odds & Picks – EPL Matchday 5 (Sept 1)

• Leicester City hosts Manchester United in the fifth Premier League matchweek on Thursday, September 1st, at 3:00 pm ET
• The Foxes have not lost against Manchester United in their last four Premier League encounters
• Get the Leicester City vs Manchester United odds, analysis, and betting prediction below

Leicester City vs Manchester United is a Premier League spectacle to keep your eye on. For the visitors, this is a chance to build on their first away win since February of last year. Additionally, it gives Eric ten Hag the ability to grow his team’s confidence against a struggling Leicester City side. The Dutch manager can rotate his defense while also introducing Casemiro, who the fans have long been waiting to make his first start.

On the contrary, this game could not be more important for Leicester City. More specifically, this match could not be more important for manager, Brendan Rodgers. His seat as manager has never been more hot, and a loss on Thursday could mark the end of his three and a half year tenure.

All in all, Rodgers earned 1.66 points per match at Leicester and unforgettably won the FA Cup in 2021. Nonetheless, a barren transfer window and the loss of multiple key talents has them sitting at the very bottom of England’s top flight.

Leicester City vs Manchester United Odds

Odds as of August 31th at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook bonus code to bet on this Premier League match

Overall, Manchester United are the narrow moneyline favorites in this match at +105. Two consecutive victories will give ten Hag and the Red Devils quite a bit of confidence. However, they have not beaten Leicester City in their last five tries across Premier League and FA Cup play.

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In the long-term picture, United’s outright EPL odds sit at +4000.

Over/Under Odds & Goalscorer Props
Also, I would expect the total goal line to surely topple over 2.5. Currently, the odds on that play are -150, while the under sits at +120. In their eight combined Premier League games this season, the over on 2.5 has hit 87.5% of the time, while hitting 80% of the time in their last five head-to-head meetings.

Coinciding with that pick is a prop for Jamie Vardy to be an anytime goalscorer at +120. Manchester United have to play Arsenal this weekend and in fairness, Leicester City are the easier opponents.

A: This stunner from Vardy against Manchester United last season 🚀#LEIMUN https://t.co/azKgbtjvG7 pic.twitter.com/P46iejyvyB

— Leicester City (@LCFC) August 29, 2022

In turn, I would expect a decent amount of rotation, including the likes of Luke Shaw and Harry Maguire. That only increases the chances of a Vardy party at the King Power; plus, he has scored in three of his last eight appearances versus United.

Are the Foxes Done Fighting for Rodgers?

While I favor Vardy to score, I still do not see a path for Leicester City to actually steal points. Despite United having a shambolic start to the season, we have finally seen a glimmer of what ten Hag football in Manchester could look like. Players are running again and the defensive shape as a whole is much more organized.

Leicester City vs Manchester United Statistics

Now, Antony probably will not make his Manchester United debut on Thursday. Nonetheless, I favor Casemiro to start and also make an immediate impact in that midfield.

Debut and victory!! 👊🏽#MUFC #PL pic.twitter.com/ZOPn9o1qw2

— Casemiro (@Casemiro) August 27, 2022

Conversely, the absence of James Maddison in the Leicester midfield is a crunching blow. The hole puts so much creative pressure on Youri Tielemans, and I just do not think he will be able to come up with enough against United. They had the benefit of playing a 10-man Chelsea side for 60 minutes, and still fell short this weekend.

Only Harry Kane (23), Kevin De Bruyne and Son Heung-Min (both 21) have played a direct hand in more Premier League goals than James Maddison (15) in 2022

Maddison has scored or assisted in seven straight league matches for Leicester pic.twitter.com/OK6DhjNkxB

— Leicester City Xtra. (@XtraLeicester) August 25, 2022

At the end of the day, it feels as though Leicester have met the end of the road with Rodgers. Players like Tielemans and Maddison are still trying to scramble away in the window, and the results just keep falling flat. While their record versus United is good, I expect the Red Devils to keep pushing forward.

Leicester City vs Manchester United Projected Lineups and Injuries

Leicester City Projected Lineup: Ward, Justin, Evans, Amartey, Castagne, Ndidi, Tielemans, Dewsbury-Hall, Barnes, Vardy, Daka

Injuries & Absences: Pereira, Bertrand, Maddison (questionable)

Manchester United Projected Lineup: De Gea, Shaw, Martinez, Maguire, Dalot, Casemiro, Eriksen, Fernandes, Sancho, Rashford, Elanga

Injuries & Absences: Lindelof, Pellistri, Martial (questionable)

Leicester City vs Manchester United Prediction

Finally, the best bet for this match is the Manchester United moneyline at +105. Anytime you can get plus odds on a United moneyline, there is value.

Pick: Manchester United ML (+105)