Tour Championship 4th Round Odds, Picks & Predictions
By Chris Amberley in Golf
Published:
- Scottie Scheffler has a one-stroke lead over Xander Schauffele at the Tour Championship heading into Sunday
- Play was suspended on Saturday, with half of the field still needing to complete their 3rd rounds
- See the updated 2022 Tour Championship odds below heading into the final day of play on Sunday
What a difference 24 hours can make. When Scottie Scheffler finished his ninth hole of the day on Friday, just one golfer was within seven strokes of his lead at the Tour Championship. Fast forward to Saturday, and Scheffler’s lead is down to one shot, while 12 players are at or within seven strokes of him. That list includes former FedExCup champions and some of the world’s top players who are all chasing the $15 million first prize.
2022 Tour Championship Odds
| Golfer | Position | Score | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 1st | -19 | +105 |
| Xander Schauffele | 2nd | -18 | +200 |
| Sungjae Im | 3rd | -16 | +900 |
| Rory McIlroy | 4th | -15 | +1100 |
| Jon Rahm | T-5 | -14 | +2200 |
| Patrick Cantlay | T-5 | -14 | +3500 |
| Justin Thomas | T-5 | -14 | +3500 |
| Sepp Straka | T-5 | -14 | +11000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | T-10 | -12 | +25000 |
| Max Homa | T-10 | -12 | +30000 |
Odds as of August 27th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Lightning halted play at East Lake Golf Club on Saturday, leaving half of the field to finish their 3rd Rounds Sunday morning. Scheffler and Xander Schauffele, who’s currently in second place, got through just 12 holes on Saturday, and will need to start scoring if they want to create some separation atop the leaderboard.
Round 3 play @PlayoffFinale will resume tomorrow at 9:45 a.m.
The final round is scheduled to start at 11:16 a.m. pic.twitter.com/gkPhKAufGb
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 27, 2022
Both were just one-under through their 3rd Rounds, failing to capitalize on easy scoring conditions. The average score on Saturday was 67, while no one shot worse than 71.
Stick with Schauffele at the Top
The way Schauffele finished Round 2, it seemed like it would only be a matter of time before he overtook Scheffler. Xander closed birdie, birdie, eagle on Friday, and was two-under through three holes on Saturday.
Birdie-birdie-eagle finish for Xander Schauffele who cards a back nine 29 and cuts the lead to 2.
Schauffele is a combined 43-under-par on the back nine at East Lake since 2017, 14 shots better than any other player in that span.
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) August 26, 2022
Back-to-back poor drives yielded bogeys on holes four and five, but he responded with two straight birdies on the next two holes. He hasn’t made a birdie since, but make no mistake Schauffele owns this course. In 22 rounds at East Lake he’s failed to break par only twice, and owns a career 67.04 scoring average, which is the best in the field.
He ranks third in ball striking, and third in strokes gained tee-to-green so far this week which is better than Scheffler in both categories.
Scottie Scheffler has parred his last six holes and lost six strokes to Xander Schauffele.
Tie ballgame with 33 holes remaining.
— Sean Martin (@PGATOURSMartin) August 27, 2022
Scheffler meanwhile, has hit a dry spell. He’s made just two birdies over his past 24 holes, and hit only 66.7% of the greens in regulation on Saturday. He’s lost nearly two strokes putting this week, which is usually his forte, and only seven players in the field have made fewer birdies than him. If choosing from the top, stick with Schauffele.
2022 Tour Championship Live Value Picks
- Rory McIlroy (+1100): Remember when McIlroy started the tournament with a triple bogey. Since then, he’s 14-under par racking up 15 birdies and two eagles. He certainly has the firepower to erase a four-shot deficit quickly, and East Lake just happens to be a course he’s absolutely thrived on in the past. McIlroy won the Tour Championship in 2019 and 2016, while finishing runner-up in 2014. He’s shot 67 or better in 11 of his past 18 rounds at this course, and is well on his way to doing so again in the 3rd Round.
- Patrick Cantlay (+3500): The reigning FedExCup champ defended his title last week at the BMW Championship, and looks poised to make a Sunday charge at East Lake if he can turn his putter around. Cantlay leads the field in strokes gained tee-to-green so far this week, and ranks second in ball striking, but is 29th out of 30 players in putting. He’ll resume his 3rd Round five shots off the pace, and if he can get his putter back on track he’s going to vault up the leaderboard.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
