Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings Odds & Picks – WNBA Playoffs Round 1 Game 3
By Robert Duff in WNBA
Published:
- The Connecticut Sun are 5.5-point road favorites over the Dallas Wings in a WNBA playoff game on Wednesday, August 24
- The Wings will be playing host to a postseason game for the first time since the team relocated to Dallas
- This Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings matchup is the third and deciding game of their best-of-three quarterfinal series
A lot of firsts are on the line for the Dallas Wings (1-1), but foremost on that list must be beating the Connecticut Sun (1-1) one more time so that they can move on in the WNBA playoffs when the two meet in this Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings Game 3 matchup.
Deadlocked 1-1 in their best-of-three WNBA quarterfinal series, the Wings staved off elimination with a Game 2 victory. It was the first playoff win for the franchise since moving to Dallas. And this decisive Game 3 contest will mark the first-ever WNBA playoff game to be contested in Dallas.
Despite all that the Wings seem to have going for them, it’s the Sun who are being made 5.5-point road favorites by oddsmakers. Connecticut is 6-0 against the spread over the club’s past six road games.
Sun vs Wings Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | -235 | -5.5 (-110) | O 165.5 (-110) |
| Dallas Wings | +192 | +5.5 (-110) | U 165.5 (-110) |
Odds as of August 24 at Caesars Sportsbook
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Tip-off for this game is set for 9:00 pm ET on Wednesday, August 24 at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game is available for viewing on ESPN in the USA and NBA TV in Canada.
At a moneyline of -235, the Sun are given an implied probability of victory of 70.15%. Bet $10 on Connecticut to cover the spread and if the Sun does indeed come through with the victory, that will provide a payout of $14.30.
The WNBA public betting splits are showing that few expect that the Sun will be going down. In the spread, Connecticut is drawing 80% of the handle and 65% of the bets. Moneyline wagering is also backing the Sun to the tune of 62% of handle and 83% of bets. The public is divided on the total. The over is collecting 75% of bets, while the under is getting 77% of the handle.
Connecticut is the +400 second betting choice in the WNBA Championship odds. Dallas is the longest shot left in this betting market at +3000.
Wings Have More Than a Prayer
Dallas finished the regular season 18-18, while Connecticut was 25-11. However, in head-to-head play, the Wings took two of three games from the Sun.
It looked like Dallas would be packing and heading home quickly when #3 seed Connecticut grounded the Wings 93-68 in Game 1 of this season. Minus leading scorer Arike Ogunbowale, out with an abdominal injury, there didn’t seem much cause for optimism in the Big D.
"They're coming into our house. We got that attitude now."#AllForTexas pic.twitter.com/zQWrtnR5Ka
— Dallas Wings (@DallasWings) August 23, 2022
However, #6 seed Dallas came roaring back to take Game 2 by an 89-79 verdict. Kayla Thornton led the way with 20 points, her career playoff high. Coming off the bench to add 17 points and grab 11 rebound was Teaira McCowan. The Wings led by as many as 31 points, enabling them to stave off a late 22-2 run by the Sun.
The last time the Dallas franchise won a WNBA postseason game was on September 23, 2009. Back then, they were the Detroit Shock.
Will Sun Be Setting On Connecticut?
The Sun were held to seven first-quarter points during Game 2. That’s the second-lowest total score for a quarter in WNBA playoff history.
Connecticut never led the entire game. The Sun trailed by double digits on the scoreboard for the entire final 26 minutes of the game. Jonquel Jones and Brionna Jones each scored 20 points for Connecticut and DiJonai Carrington added 13 points.
The Dallas Wings' upset over the Connecticut Sun on Sunday was the most-viewed WNBA Playoff game in 15 years 📺
The game averaged 795,000 viewers, per @ESPNPR. pic.twitter.com/UA11ENvY0M
— Front Office Sports (@FOS) August 23, 2022
Connecticut outscored Dallas in the paint (42-40) and in bench points (35-27). However, the Sun lost the battle in second-chance points (23-11) and fast-break points (10-4).
The Sun finished the WNBA regular season leading the league in rebounds per game (37.1), steals per game (8.8), fast-break points per game (12.6), second-chance points per game (13.5) and net rating (9.5).
Sun vs Wings Prediction
Dallas was a disappointing 8-10 straight up at home this season. Connecticut was 12-6 SU on the road. That was tied for the second-best road record in the WNBA this season, behind only the Las Vegas Aces (13-5).
Prior to Wednesday, August 24th vs. Connecticut: pic.twitter.com/S0F9Btx22Q
— Dallas Wings (@DallasWings) August 23, 2022
As a road favorite this season, the Sun are 7-5 ATS. The Wings are 3-4 ATS as a home underdog. Dallas is 8-15-2 ATS over the club’s last 25 home games. The Wings did cover and win outright as 5-point home underdogs in an 82-71 victory over Connecticut on July 5.
Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings Stats
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 86.0 | Points Per Game | 78.5 |
| 48.9% | Field Goal Percentage | 44.9% |
| 35.1% | Three-Point Percentage | 35.0% |
| 32.1 | Rebounds | 34.8 |
| 23.0 | Assists | 19.5 |
| 11.0 | Turnovers | 12.5 |
| 7.5 | +/- | -7.5 |
Even with their Game 2 triumph, the Wings are just 4-14 SU in the last 18 games against the Sun.
We’re coming with everything we have.
Game 3, Wednesday at 9 PM ET on ESPN. pic.twitter.com/uqI76vC8OD
— Connecticut Sun (@ConnecticutSun) August 24, 2022
Dallas is listing Ogunbowale as probable for Game 3. She averaged 17.3 points per game in the three regular-season games against Connecticut.
Pick: Connecticut Sun -5.5 (-110)
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
