2021 PGA Tour RSM Classic Odds and Picks

• The RSM Classic  from Sea Island, Georgia tees off Thursday, November 18th
• Scottie Scheffler is the favorite at +1000, followed by Webb Simpson
• We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

How low can you go? That will be the question this week at the RSM Classic, as the winning score projects to be in the -20 to -23 neighbourhood.

Defending champion Robert Streb is here, as are 150 other players, but the field is definitely short on star power. Just four of the top-25 players in the world will be teeing up starting Thursday (Nov. 18th), with the betting board highlighted by world no. 17 Scottie Scheffler at +1000.

2021 RSM Classic Odds

Odds as of November 15th at DraftKings.

Forgive me for not wanting to bet Scheffler, a player with zero career PGA Tour victories on his resume. It makes more sense to start our outright card further down the board with Kevin Kisner, who should be extremely popular this week.

Kisner Loves This Event

While Scheffler is still looking for his maiden win at the game’s highest level, Kisner has four career victories under his belt. One of those wins came right here at Sea Island in 2016, when he ran away with the title by six strokes.

Kisner is the first to admit he targets these short, easy tracks to make his money, as he lacks the elite distance it requires to compete at the game’s longest venues. The RSM Classic is played on two tracks, the Seaside Course and the Plantation Course, and both are among the top-14 easiest tracks players will see all season.

Kevin Kisner's honesty is refreshing 😆 pic.twitter.com/Gc9AfHQcoG

— Golf Channel (@GolfChannel) January 15, 2021

One of the best comp courses for these tracks is Sedgefield Country Club, home of the Wyndham Championship, a tournament Kisner just won in August. In addition to his win in 2016 at the RSM Classic, he also owns three top-seven finishes in the past four years, including a runner-up result in 2020.

Normally we like targeting Kisner at longer odds, but given the lack of strength in this field, +3500 is more than enough value to pull the trigger on.

Pick: Kevin Kisner (+3500)

2021 RSM Classic Best Value Picks

1. Talor Gooch (+3500): Gooch faltered last week in Houston after an opening round 65, but it’s impossible to ignore his form during the swing season. He’s placed 11th or better in four of five events, with two top-five results. Over the past 16 rounds he leads this field in strokes gained total and scoring, while ranking third in strokes gained approach and seventh in ball striking.
2. Mackenzie Hughes (+5000): Another former winner to target is Canadian Mackenzie Hughes. He ranks 10th in this field in strokes gained total over the past 12 rounds and 12th in scoring. One of the premier putters on Tour, when he gets the flat stick going low 60’s rounds are always in play. He finished 29th last week in Houston, but posted a fourth place result in a much more difficult field at the ZOZO Championship in his previous start.
3. Max Homa (+6500): Oddsmakers can’t be serious with this number. Homa was won three times on Tour in the last two and half years alone, including three starts ago at the Fortinet Championship. He stumbled at the CJ Cup following his most recent victory, but rebounded last week in Houston by gaining 5.9 strokes with his ball striking. At +6500, he’s the most mispriced golfer on the board.