Formula 1 2021 Mexican Grand Prix Odds & Picks

By Daniel Coyle in Racing
Published:

- Sergio Perez vies for a third straight podium finish when he returns home for Sunday’s running of the Mexican Grand Prix on November 7th, 2021
- Fresh off a win in the US, Max Verstappen is favored to tally his ninth win of the season, while Lewis Hamilton trails as second favorite
- Read on for the Mexican Grand Prix odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix at AutĂłdromo Hermanos RodrĂguez
Sergio Perez will be aiming to reach the podium in three straight races for the first time in his Formula 1 career when he returns to his homeland for Sunday’s running of the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix sporting +1400 odds in the F1 betting lines. “Checo” is coming off consecutive third-place finishes at the Turkish and United States Grands Prix, and trails only his Red Bull teammate Max Verstappen and defending champion Lewis Hamilton as a strong -165 bet to once again finish among the top three. Fresh off his victory two weeks ago in Austin, Verstappen leads the way as a -175 favorite in the Mexican Grand Prix odds, while Hamilton searches for his first victory in three outings pegged as a +200 second favorite.
Here’s a look at all the F1 Mexican Grand Prix odds and trends at AutĂłdromo Hermanos RodrĂguez in Mexico City on Sunday afternoon at 2:00 PM EST.
Odds to Win 2021 Mexican Grand Prix
Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six |
---|---|---|---|
Max Verstappen | -175 | -400 | -600 |
Lewis Hamilton | +200 | -250 | -550 |
Sergio Perez | +1400 | -165 | -450 |
Charles Leclerc | +1800 | +185 | -300 |
Valtteri Bottas | +2200 | +215 | -280 |
Lando Norris | +5000 | +450 | -140 |
Carlos Sainz Jr. | +6500 | +450 | -175 |
Daniel Ricciardo | +8000 | +1000 | -110 |
George Russell | +10000 | +4000 | +2000 |
Pierre Gasly | +13000 | +1000 | +105 |
Sebastian Vettel | +25000 | +2500 | +650 |
Fernando Alonso | +25000 | +2200 | +330 |
Esteban Ocon | +25000 | +3500 | +750 |
Lance Stroll | +30000 | +4000 | +1200 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +30000 | +4000 | +1200 |
Antonio Giovinazzi | +50000 | +15000 | +4000 |
Kimi Raikkonen | +50000 | +20000 | +6500 |
Mick Schumacher | +50000 | +20000 | +6500 |
Nicholas Latifi | +50000 | +20000 | +6500 |
Nikita Mazepin | +50000 | +30000 | +10000 |
Odds as of November 4th at DraftKings
Homecoming for Checo at Mexican Grand Prix
After enduring a difficult stretch of seven races in which he cracked the top five on just one occasion, Sergio Perez has reverted to steady form in his past two outings. In addition to providing Verstappen with a huge assist in his bid to claim his first career F1 world championship, Checo has maintained a steady presence on the track. The 31-year-old native of Guadalajara is coming off a solid qualifying run in Austin, claiming a spot on the second row for the first time in six outings.
1- @SChecoPerez 🇲🇽 could be the first Mexican in the entire history of Formula 1 to reach the podium in the Mexican Grand Prix (his best position was 7th in 2017 and 2019) and surpass Pedro RodrĂguez's 4th place in the 1968 edition.#MexicoGP @OptaJuan
Lightning. pic.twitter.com/ECovxxOXOe
— OptaJorge (@OptaJorge) November 3, 2021
Perez would love nothing more than to take home the checkered flag in front of his fellow countrymen. However, he faces a huge challenge to overcome a shaky track record in Mexico City, where he has finished no better than seventh in five previous appearances. However, this time around Perez enjoys the benefit of being behind the wheel of the fastest car on the track. While team orders are likely to favor Verstappen and his pursuit for the crown, expect Checo to once again remain in the mix at the front of the pack.
Verstappen Favored in Mexican Grand Prix Odds
As for Verstappen, he remains in firm control of his championship destiny with just five races remaining on the 2021 F1 calendar. The 24-year-old has enjoyed a dominant campaign and received a boost from red Bull’s recent engine upgrades. The results speak for themselves. Verstappen has finished first or second in 13 of the 15 races he has completed so far this season. And with a widening 12-point lead over Hamilton in the F1 Drivers Standings, Verstappen has dramatically improved to a -250 favorite in the F1 Drivers Championship odds.
2020 ➡️ 2021
Here's how the top 10 drivers and the teams compare to this stage last year#F1 pic.twitter.com/DigOkxMQ2g
— Formula 1 (@F1) November 3, 2021
Verstappen has also enjoyed previous success in Mexico, taking home the checkered flag in two of his past three appearances. However, two notable threats to Red Bull’s increasing dominance remain.
Mexican Grand Prix Recent Winners
Year | Driver | Margin of Victory |
---|---|---|
2019 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 1.766 sec |
2018 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 17.316 sec |
2017 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 19.678 sec |
2016 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 8.354 sec |
2015 | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | 1.954 sec |
Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Picks & Predictions
While Hamilton has struggled to keep pace with his Red Bull rivals, he can’t be counted out in Mexico, where he has won twice and reached the podium on three overall occasions. However, the legendary English driver’s chances are likely to be highly dependent on his qualifying results. Hamilton has started from the front row in six of his past eight outings, a trend he must continue to avoid falling behind Verstappen and Perez early.
Onboard with @Charles_Leclerc for the lap that puts him on pole in Mexico ⏱👀
He's promoted from P2 to P1, following Max Verstappen's grid penalty #MexicoGP 🇲🇽 #Pirelli @pirellisport pic.twitter.com/gdu3S7qnvH
— Formula 1 (@F1) October 26, 2019
In addition, it would be unwise to overlook Charles Leclerc, who looks to the weekend as a +1800 bet. The Ferrari driver has finished among the top five in four of his past five outings, capped by a fourth-place run in Austin. Leclerc also impressed in his last appearance in Mexico, claiming the pole and recording the fastest lap on his way to a fourth-place finish, and is worthy of a value wager as a +185 bet to reach the podium for the second time this season.
The Picks: Sergio Perez top three (-165); Charles Leclerc top three (+185)

Sports Writer
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.