UFC 268 Betting Preview – Usman vs Covington 2 Prop Bets and Best Method of Victory Pick

By Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts News
Published:

- The UFC returns to Madison Square Garden for a stacked UFC 268 card on Saturday and we’ve got prop bets to breakdown
- Usman to win by KO/TKO or DQ at +280 in the UFC 268 props
- Let’s take a look at full UFC 268 betting preview, along with our best prop bets
The UFC is back at Madison Square Garden in New York City for the first time since 2019 on Saturday, November 6th, 2021. The main event sees Kamaru Usman looking to defend his welterweight title in a rematch against Colby Covington. The co-main event sees Rose Namajunas rematching Weili Zhang for the strawweight belt. UFC 268 props are available at DraftKings, with a few lines offering great value.
We’ve already broken down out UFC 268 moneyline best bets and found some value on some fighters. That being said, let’s dive deeper into a UFC 268 betting preview where we look at our best UFC prop bets for the card.
UFC 268 Props – Total Rounds Odds
Matchup | Total Rounds | Over Odds | Under Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Usman vs Covington | 3.5 | -150 | +120 |
Namajunas vs Zhang | 4.5 | -130 | +100 |
Edgar vs Vera | 2.5 | -185 | +150 |
Burgos vs Qurantillo | 2.5 | -140 | +110 |
Gaethje vs Chander | 1.5 | -115 | -115 |
All odds as of Nov. 4 at DraftKings
Namajunas vs Zhang Under 4.5 Rounds
Rose Namajunas and Weili Zhang fought back in April at UFC 261 where Namajunas won in 78 seconds by head kick KO. Now, they are running it back again and I think this fight goes the under 4.5 rounds.
In Namajunas’ last six fights, four have ended before the second round. Namajunas gets a rap as a decision fighter, but I disagree, and it proves in the stats. Zhang, meanwhile, has either been finished or has finished her opponent in the first round in three of her last five fights.
Zhang has taken a ton of damage and the first clean shot Namajunas landed knocked her out. Namajunas is very precise and I do think she will be able to catch Zhang again. Yet, if the challenger wins, she could very well KO Namajunas, which is why I like this is my favorite total UFC 268 prop on the card.
Pick: Namajunas-Zhang Under 4.5 Rounds (+100)
UFC 268 Props – Fight Goes The Distance Odds
Matchup | Yes Odds | No Odds |
---|---|---|
Usman vs Covington | -110 | -120 |
Namajunas vs Zhang | -115 | -115 |
Edgar vs Vera | -150 | +110 |
Burgos vs Quarantillo | -120 | -110 |
Gaethje vs Chandler | +215 | -300 |
Best Fight Goes the Distance UFC 268 Prop Bet
If you read the UFC 268 breakdown, you know I like Frankie Edgar to beat Marlon Vera as an underdog, but I also like the fight to go the distance.
Although Edgar has been knocked out in three of his last four losses, I don’t think Vera has the power to KO him. Both Edgar and Vera are more volume strikers than they are knockout artists. Edgar also has the wrestling advantage and when he uses his wrestling, he grinds out decision wins, which I expect here.
In Edgar’s last four wins, three have gone the distance including two of them being five rounds fights. Vera, meanwhile, has gone the distance in three of his last four fights with the lone fight that ended was the Sean O’Malley bout. Whoever wins this fight will win by decision. There is still value in this UFC 268 prop at -150, or feel free to parlay it with another chalkier favorite.
Pick: Edgar-Vera Goes the Distance (-150)
UFC 268 Props – Method of Victory Odds
Result | KO / TKO/DQ Odds | Submission Odds | Decision Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Usman beats Covington | +140 | +1000 | +165 |
Covington beats Usman | +750 | +2000 | +450 |
Namajunas beats Zhang | +350 | +650 | +300 |
Zhang beats Namajunas | +330 | +1200 | +200 |
Edgar beats Vera | +750 | +1400 | +250 |
Vera beats Edgar | +300 | +550 | +180 |
Burgos beats Quarantillo | +225 | +800 | +175 |
Quarantillo beats Burgos | +700 | +1000 | +350 |
Gaethje beats Chandler | -115 | +1400 | +500 |
Chandler beats Gaethjer | +450 | +1000 | +500 |
Usman wins by KO/TKO/DQ at UFC 268
When Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington first met in December of 2019 many expected it to be a boring fight as they are two wrestlers who weren’t known for their standup. Yet, they put on a phenomenal fight, but since then Usman has improved.

The champ is now working under Trevor Wittman who is arguably the best striking coach in MMA. He showed off his improved striking and power by knocking out Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal. In this fight, I expect Usman will be able to piece up Covington and land the power shots and eventually get the knockout win. Usman offers great value in this UFC 268 prop at +140 since he’s knocked out his last two opponents.
Pick: Usman wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+140)
Click to get the best UFC 268 betting promo at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Sports Writer
Cole graduated from Sheridan College in April of 2019 with a diploma in journalism. He now is a full-time freelance writer, focusing on MMA for sites like BJPENN, while also covering the Toronto Blue Jays as a credentialed media member. At SBD, Cole covers the four major sports and MMA.