Odds to Make the Cut at 2021 US Open

• You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2021 U.S. Open
• Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
• See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below

The U.S. Open breeds carnage. Year after year, this tournament is the toughest test golfers face, and 2021 will be no different.

In 2020, Jordan Spieth, Tyrrell Hatton and Collin Morikawa were among the elite players who failed to make the weekend, and given how difficult Torrey Pines projects to play this week, you can expect another star studded list of trunk slammers come Friday.

The prestigious event tees off Thursday (June 17th), and you can bet on which players will make and miss the cut. One of those top end golfers to fade this week is Daniel Berger. The 16th ranked player in the world has an awful track record at Torrey Pines, and was a major disappointment at both the Masters and PGA Championship.

Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2021 U.S. Open

Odds as of  June 15th. 

Berger a Big Letdown at Majors

Berger missed the cut at Augusta, and opened with a 79 at the PGA Championship before rallying on Friday to squeak through the cutline. From there, his weekend performance was a disaster, firing rounds of 76 and 74 en route to a 75th place finish.

When you backed Daniel Berger pic.twitter.com/EDPTzZxmDn

— Sam Farley (@FarleyWrites) May 22, 2021

He has made the cut in three straight U.S. Opens, after missing in 2017, but Torrey Pines has not treated him well lately. He’s failed to make the weekend at three straight Farmers Insurance Opens, contested every year here, losing strokes tee to green, on approach, and around the green in back-to-back visits.

Speaking of around the green play, that skill is going to be tested heavily this week, and its an area of Berger’s game that has been lacking. He’s lost strokes in that category in three of his past four measured events, and ranks 109th in this field in around the green play over the past 24 rounds.

Pick: Daniel Berger To Miss Cut (+180)

Fade Bubba Watson

Our next fade is Bubba Watson. The two-time Major champion is a +12500 longshot to win the tournament, and has dreadful history at the U.S. Open.

Bubba Watson U.S. Open Results – Last 6 Years

Watson has missed the cut in four of his past six trips to this event, and enters in miserable form. He withdrew after making 10 bogeys and a double in just 32 holes at the Memorial, and prior to that was 80th at the PGA Championship. He ranks 106th in strokes gained approach and 95th in strokes gained putting over the past 24 rounds, and has lost strokes tee to green in six of his past nine starts.

Bubba tends to play well every year at the Masters, but struggles to find the weekend at any of the other Majors. Over his past 14 starts at the U.S. Open, Open Championship and PGA Championship, he’s missed the cut eight times.

Pick: Bubba Watson To Miss Cut (+110)

Make the Cut Parlay

Enough about who’s not going to be around on the weekend, let’s focus now on who will be teeing it up on Saturday and Sunday.

Matt Wallace excels at tough golf courses and has been a model of consistency at Majors since 2018. He’s made the cut in nine of his past 10 Major Championship starts, including eight in a row, and is popping in the stat models. He ranks top-26 in this field in strokes gained tee to green, approach, and around the green, and is fresh off gaining 5.1 strokes with his irons last time out.

Nice way to start Jack’s tournament!@MemorialGolf @PGATOUR pic.twitter.com/UALBX5QHMl

— Matt Wallace (@mattsjwallace) June 3, 2021

He’s not known as a bomber, but he routinely gains strokes off the tee as well. Wallace has been positive in that category in six of his past seven events, while ranking 42nd in driving distance in this field.

Let’s pair him with Justin Rose, who won at Torrey Pines in 2019, and has finished top-23 in four of his past five Major starts, a run that includes three top-9 results.

Justin Rose got in some early practice for the 2021 #USOpen at Torrey Pines! Congratulations to the 2013 champion on his victory in the #FarmersInsOpen! pic.twitter.com/wGhxHYGJDO

— U.S. Open (@usopengolf) January 27, 2019

The International trend continues with Shane Lowry, who owns some of the best form of anyone in the event with three top-9 finishes in his past four starts, and has gained at least 4.1 strokes tee to green in five of his past seven tournaments.

Shane Lowry's slam dunk from the fairway is this week's #ULTRAMoment. 🏀 https://t.co/Q32PcNMP8p pic.twitter.com/sTra92Wg7S

— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) June 8, 2021

Next, let’s add Paul Casey, aka one of the best ball strikers on the planet, who’s been on the first page of the leaderboard in two of his past three Major starts, and who’s made the weekend at eight straight Majors.

Finally we’ll round out our make the cut parlay with Louis Oosthuizen who’s been scorching hot this season. The South African owns three straight top-18 finishes, and has posted 3rd and 7th place results in his past two U.S. Open appearances.

Louis Oosthuizen's U.S. Open record is low-key pretty sweet.

• Four top 10s (best is T2 at Chambers Bay)
• Nothing outside the top 25 since Pinehurst
• Lost to 8 total guys at Pebble and Winged Foot
• Hasn't missed a cut at *any* major since 2017

— Kyle Porter (@KylePorterCBS) June 14, 2021

Add it all up, and we’re looking at a handsome +603 payout if all five make it inside the cut line.