2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational 4th Round Odds, Picks and Preview

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Published:

- Lee Westwood leads by one stroke over Bryson DeChambeau and Corey Conners at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
- Ten golfers are within four shots of the lead heading into the final round on Sunday afternoon
- See the updated odds at Bay Hill Club and Lodge below
An absolutely wild and thrilling moving Saturday at the Arnold Palmer Invitational culminated with a surprising 54-hole leader in veteran Lee Westwood. The 47-year-old, who last won on the PGA Tour in 2010, shot a blistering 7-under, 65 to grab a slim lead over Bryson DeChambeau and Corey Conners.
Before the week began, if you were to wager on Westwood to win outright you’d be sitting pretty right now because his odds were astronomically high at +18000. DeChambeau had the third shortest odds and he’ll play in the final group with Westwood on Sunday, trying to become the first American in six years to win this event.
There is plenty of firepower behind the top two on the leaderboard like Jordan Spieth, who made an incredible hole in one Saturday, 2018 and 2020 champions Rory McIlroy and Tyrrell Hatton along with Tommy Fleetwood.
Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets for Sunday’s final round.
Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds
Golfer | Position | Score | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Bryson DeChambeau | T-2nd | -10 | +200 |
Lee Westwood | 1st | -11 | +470 |
Corey Conners | T-2nd | -10 | +550 |
Jordan Spieth | T-4th | -9 | +700 |
Tommy Fleetwood | 6th | -8 | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | T-7th | -7 | +1100 |
Keegan Bradley | T-4th | -9 | +1200 |
Tyrrell Hatton | T-11th | -6 | +2700 |
Jason Day | T-11th | -6 | +5000 |
Richy Werenski | T-7th | -7 | +6000 |
Jason Kokrak | T-11th | -6 | +6000 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | T-11th | -6 | +6000 |
Odds taken March 6th at FanDuel
Lee Westwood The Surprise 54-Hole Leader
Not many could have predicted a resurgence from Lee Westwood this week from his recent play but also from his spotty track record around Bay Hill. In his last four worldwide starts, the ten-time Ryder Cupper had three finishes of 50th or worse. In his career at the Arnold Palmer Invitational he has but a single top-10 in 13 appearances, a tie for fifth way back in 2006.
Lee Westwood: 11-for-22 converting 54-hole leads/co-leads worldwide the last 15 years. He's 3-for-8 with a 1-shot lead in that time span.
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) March 6, 2021
This week he’s third in strokes gained tee-to-green, and has been a good-not-great 27th in SG: putting. The potentially concerning part of his game is that he’s bogeyed three holes each of the last two rounds.
A third career PGA Tour victory (he has 25 on the European Tour), would make for a great story but with his long track record of shaky putting on Sundays and with big names right behind him, Westwood will be in tough to get it over the finish line.
With Bryson DeChambeau hot on his heels by crushing tee shots and striking it beautifully (first in SG: off-the-tee and tee-to-green) Westwood doesn’t offer a ton of value at +470 compared to the bloated +10000 odds he had coming into Saturday.
Last Five Arnold Palmer Invitational Winners
Year | Winner |
---|---|
2020 | Tyrrell Hatton (-4) one shot win |
2019 | Francesco Molinari (-12) two shot win |
2018 | Rory McIlroy (-18) three shot win |
2017 | Marc Leishman (-11) one shot win |
2016 | Jason Day (-17) one shot win |
Best Live Value Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational
- Jordan Spieth (+700): Spieth electrified the crowd with an incredible ace on the second hole Saturday and also holed out from the bunker on seven and made several long putts. In contention yet again after holding leads through 54 holes at Phoenix and Pebble Beach. Sixth in strokes gained approaching the green and seventh in putting this week.
- Tommy Fleetwood (+1000): Just two years ago Tommy Fleetwood co-led after 36 holes at this tournament before eventually settling for a third place tie. First in scrambling this week, and he’s just three back. Long overdue to finally get his first win in the States, he’d continue the trend of five straight non-Americans emerging victorious at Bay Hill.

Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.