Live Odds to Win 2020 Election Show Trump Fading, Biden Surging
By Robert Duff in Politics News
Published:
- Democratic challenger Joe Biden has surged further ahead in the latest live odds on the 2020 US Presidential election
- Biden is at -218, while Republican incumbent Donald Trump has faded to +186
- Entering the day, Biden was the -188 favorite and Trump the +157 underdog
The latest live odds on the 2020 US Presidential election show Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump growing significantly on Tuesday as Election Day is unfolding.
Democratic challenger Biden is currently the -218 favorite to win the Presidency. His election odds entering Tuesday were -188 on average.
The betting line on Republican incumbent Trump has faded from +157 to +186.
2020 US Presidential Election Live Odds
| Candidate | Live Odds | Nov. 2nd Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | -218 | -118 |
| Donald Trump | +186 | +157 |
Odds as of 2:00 pm ET, Nov. 3rd.
If Trump loses, he’ll be the first incumbent President to fail to win a second term since Republican George HW Bush lost to Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992.
Polls Show Race Tightening
The movement in the betting odds was in stark contrast to the polls. Numbers late Tuesday showed the race between Biden and Trump to be growing closer.
Analytics site fivethirtyeight.com was showing Biden with an 8.4-point overall advantage. Real Clear Politics were offering Biden a lead of 6.7 points in their aggregation of available polls.
Biden campaign’s @jomalleydillon exudes confidence in election day briefing, saying, “It is clear we are winning.” The campaign isn’t seeing many ballot box issues. “People are voting with minimal issues, with energy and enthusiasm,” she says.
— Matt Viser (@mviser) November 3, 2020
A cross-section of numerous final polls showed Biden to still be leading Trump by anywhere from four to 10 points in the national polls. However, the numbers were becoming tighter in some key swing states.
Biden’s lead in Florida was down to 1.7 points. A Reuters/Ipsos poll was displaying that the races were a virtual dead heat in both Arizona and North Carolina.
Lifelong #Republican Les Otten to Cast First Vote at Midnight in Dixville Notch for #Democrat @JoeBiden #ElectionDay #Election2020 #NHpolitics # pic.twitter.com/YakXzDMytr
— Dixville Vote (@DixvilleVote) November 2, 2020
The battleground states in the midwest, though, were still solidly leaning in Biden’s favor. Biden holds an average 2.5-point lead in Pennsylvania. His lead is 4.8 points in Michigan. Wisconsin polling was showing Biden with a 6.6-point edge on Trump.
Gallup-ing Toward Biden
One interesting poll taken by Gallup was displaying that the American public felt Biden has done a better job of delivering the goods on the campaign trail than Trump.
Nearly 56% of Americans told Gallup that Biden’s campaign was more fruitful than Trump’s performance. Among those polled who identified as political independents, 55% were of the opinion that Biden was the more satisfactory candidate when it came to campaigning.
A swing voter in Michigan told the BBC he chose Biden this time because ‘He seems like the kind of guy where you don’t have to listen to him talk every day.’
I’ve been thinking about that for hours.
‘Biden 2020: look, at least you can take your eye off him for five minutes’.— Laurie Penny (@PennyRed) November 3, 2020
Trump’s campaign performance was felt to be satisfactory by only 46% of respondents. He’s the first sitting President in US election history to ever score lower than 50% when it came to campaign approval.
By contrast, Barack Obama scored a 66% favorable rating for his campaign when he earned his second term as President in 2012.
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
