NASCAR Supermarket Heroes 500 Odds & Picks

• The Supermarket Heroes 500 takes place on May 31 at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, CT
• Brad Keselowski will have pole position with Aric Almirola starting second and Joey Logano third
• Denny Hamlin is the defending champ at this track and might be a good bet for a top-10 finish

NASCAR makes the turn to head to Bristol, Connecticut, this week for the Supermarket Heroes 500. The race will take place at Bristol Motor Speedway on Sunday, May 31st, at 3:30 PM ET.

Kyle Busch has a fantastic recent track record at Bristol, winning three of his last five starts here. Is he a good bet at extremely short odds or are there better options on the board?

NASCAR Supermarket Heroes 500 Odds

Odds taken May 29th.

Busch Is the Best Bet at Bristol

When you’re taking a look at the options at the top of the board, Kyle Busch looks like the best bet among the favorites. In his last five starts at Bristol Motor Speedway, Busch has won three times and placed fourth another time. He’s also led 374 laps in that span.

Busch did have a rough stretch on this track from 2011 to 2017 when he placed 11th or worse in eight of 11 races. However, he also had a stretch from 2009 to 2011 in which he won this race four times in five starts with a ninth-place result being the lone non-win. Busch is who I’m looking at from the favorites.

Hamlin for a Top-10 Finish?

Hamlin has had an up and down season so far with fantastic results mixed in with some sluggish finishes. He won the Daytona 500 and the Darlington 310. He’s also placed second, fifth and sixth in three other races. At the same time, he’s finished 17^th or worse three times as well.

He’s the defending champ at this track but I mostly like him for a top 10 here. He’s placed in the top 10 in five of his last seven starts. The two misses were both 14th-place results, so it’s not as if he was really far off.

Jimmie Johnson Likes Bristol

Bristol is one of Jimmie Johnson’s top tracks. When you look at average finishing position, it’s his fourth-best track overall. Last year, he placed 19th in the fall race at Bristol Motor Speedway but prior to that, had eight top 10s in 10 seasons (and one of his misses was an 11th-place finish in 2017).

He’s been showing some signs of life this year with a fifth in Vegas, a seventh in California, 12th in Phoenix, eighth at Darlington, and an 11th last week in Charlotte. I think he can fit inside the top 10 this week.

Avoid Logano

I’m going to continue avoiding Logano for outright bets for now. He has a decent track record here, placing 16th in the fall race last year and third, fourth, and ninth in his three starts before that.

He’s won here twice but that was back in 2015 and 2014. I’m just not enthused with the way he’s been driving of late – especially on the longer versions of the tracks – so I’ll pass.