Odds Favor Gabbard or Steyer to Be Next Candidate to Dropout, Warren and Biden Not Far Behind

• Who will be the next candidate to bow out of the Democratic Nominee field?
• Only Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar have qualified to on the stage for this week’s debate in Nevada.
• Tulsi Gabbard and Tom Steyer are favored to be next to bow out of the Democratic Presidential Nominee race

The field of candidates vying for the Democratic Party’s Presidential nominee is whittling down. Deval Patrick, Andrew Yang and Michael Bennett have bowed out. A number of candidates are on the cusp of suspending their campaigns. With the betting odds updated, who is the best bet to be next to leave the race?

2020 Democratic Nominee Next Candidate to Drop Out Odds

Odds as of Feb. 13

Gabbard, Steyer Favored to Be Next

There are still eight candidates left in the field, which was over 20 at one point. However, we’re approaching a critical juncture where we should see the field shrink significantly. Most of the candidates are trying to hang around through to Super Tuesday, which is on March 3rd. After that point, we should have a clear idea of who will be the nominee.

At the same time, a number of candidates don’t have a way forward. There are people who are wondering how Joe Biden will survive or what Elizabeth Warren will do. Many people even think Pete Buttigieg, who is one of the front runners, simply doesn’t have the ground game to get through this race.

If that’s how the prime time candidates are being talked about, then why are people like Tulsi Gabbard and Tom Steyer in the race? Both are polling below 2% nationally and should probably close up shop. They’re both favored to be the next candidates out.

Steyer in It Through South Carolina

Steyer has a tiny bit of momentum after the last debate and feels like he still has a shot. That’s because he’s actually polling fairly well in South Carolina, which is less than two weeks away, and isn’t doing too bad in Nevada either. Steyer is currently fourth in polls in Nevada and second in South Carolina.

Steyer really has no path to winning the nominee but he’s a friend of Bernie Sanders and what he can do here is hurt Joe Biden. Biden is the only democratic candidate who is doing well with the black vote, which is what he’s banking on in South Carolina.

If Steyer can take a bite out of Biden’s numbers in South Carolina – and he clearly is because he’s at 18.5 percent and Biden is at 31% – then that will help Sanders. Sanders is at 17.5% in South Carolina, according to the latest polls.

At any rate, Steyer is in it through South Carolina and with any type of a showing, will see this through Super Tuesday. I wouldn’t bet on him being the next one out.

Gabbard Should Be Next to Go

Gabbard is the best bet of the bunch here. Yes, she’s favored but she’s been absolutely pulse-less for a while. While Steyer at least made it to the last debate, she couldn’t qualify. She’s doing her best to make an impact in South Carolina but the latest polls show she’s just at about 2% there.

What’s interesting is that Andrew Yang, who is nearly double her numbers nationally and in South Carolina, just dropped out, so he sees no way through. It’s hard to say why she’s even in it at this point.

Is it possible that someone like Elizabeth Warren bows out earlier than expected? It’s possible. She also has no way through as it’s clear the left-wing of the party has coalesced around Sanders. However, I can’t see her getting out before Super Tuesday. Gabbard should be out by then.