AAF Week 7 Odds And Picks: Hotshots A Hot Bet Again?

• The Arizona Hotshots handed the Orlando Apollos their first defeat of the season in Week 6
• The Hotshots were preseason favorites to win the AAF
• The win halted Arizona’s ended a three-game losing streak

The Arizona Hotshots were finally able to do what no AAF club had accomplished through the first five weeks of the AAF season. They beat the Orlando Apollos.

We're back at home this Sunday Funday! #GoShots

🎟️:https://t.co/2PTffnnWVd pic.twitter.com/5LPhrmsKFK

— Arizona Hotshots (@aafhotshots) March 20, 2019

Arizona came up with a defensive gameplan to place a governor on the Apollo’s league-leading offense.

Arizona was the first team all season to hold Orlando under 20 points. The Hotshots were the preseason pick to win the AAF’s inaugural championship. But they’d dropped three in a row before landing that loss on the Apollos.

Hotshots☄️arrive in Orlando and SHOCK the Apollos‼️ pic.twitter.com/stvjzvy9Lz

— The Alliance (@TheAAF) March 18, 2019

Should you once again view the Hotshots as a hot bet?

Let’s break down all of the Week 7 AAF action.

Orlando Apollos vs Atlanta Legends

*All odds taken 3/21

Kickoff: Sat, Mar 23 at 3pm EST

All goods things must end but that doesn’t mean the world is coming to an end. That’s the approach Apollos coach Steve Spurrier is taking to their first loss of the season.

Just one game.

🏹#TakeAim | 🎟: https://t.co/1MAwcUWINr pic.twitter.com/1JX1Rc6qZ1

— Orlando Apollos (@aafAPOLLOS) March 19, 2019

Certainly, the 2-4 Legends are a good team to face in order to get things back on the right track. Orlando blasted them 40-6 in Week 1.

After winning two in a row, the Legends gave up 37 points in last week’s home loss to San Antonio. QB Aaron Murray was picked off three times.  But they do have the AAF’s No. 1 pass defense.

QB Garrett Gilbert talks about the chemistry on the team and facing The Alliance's #1 pass defense this Saturday.

🏹#TakeAim | 🎟: https://t.co/1MAwcUWINr pic.twitter.com/29OUobGHt7

— Orlando Apollos (@aafAPOLLOS) March 21, 2019

Atlanta is just 1-2 against the spread at home and all three Legends home games have gone over.

Pick: Apollos -450, -8.5, Over 42

Salt Lake Stallions vs San Antonio Commanders

Kickoff: Sat, Mar 23 at 8pm EST

Quietly, the 4-2 Commanders are playing some impressive football, but with all the hype devoted to the Apollos, they seem to be flying under the radar.

San Antonio just completed the month from hell in fine style, going 3-1 through four straight road games.

Commanders control all 3️⃣phases of the game, earning their 3rd straight W. pic.twitter.com/AsLMIqtUw1

— The Alliance (@TheAAF) March 18, 2019

The Commanders hung up 37 points at Atlanta last week and the defense forced four turnovers. They are also 4-2 ATS this season.

The 2-4 Stallions are still seeking their first road win of the season.

Stallions defense sets the tone at home ❄️❄️❄️ pic.twitter.com/FDsIQiIad7

— The Alliance (@TheAAF) March 18, 2019

They won 22-9 at home last week but that was against 1-5 Memphis, the only team with a worse record than Salt Lake.

Pick: Commanders -5, Under 40.5

San Diego Fleet vs Arizona Hotshots

Kickoff: Sun, Mar 24 at 4pm EST

Arizona returned to prominence by ending a three-game losing streak with a win over the unbeaten Apollos. Now the Hotshots can make another bold move toward the top of the West Division with a victory over San Diego.

.@Lil_Pressley is our Offensive Player of the Game, and leads @TheAAF in rushing yards with a total of 343 yds. pic.twitter.com/McWavLL8IF

— Arizona Hotshots (@aafhotshots) March 18, 2019

The defense limited Orlando to a season-low 17 points and held Apollos QB Garrett Gilbert to a 47.9 completion percentage, also a season low.

Hotshots RB Jhurell Pressley ran for two TDs in the win and leads the AAF with 343 rushing yards.

This time, the game winner goes against the Fleet in loss to Iron.@SDFleetBeat: https://t.co/WdrjXilVWW pic.twitter.com/xZNYgvqlZz

— San Diego Fleet (@AAFFleet) March 18, 2019

In this duel of 3-3 teams, the Fleet are the cardiac kids of the AAF. For the second week in a row, San Diego’s game ended via a walkoff field goal. This time, though, it was in a loss to Birmingham.

Pick: Hotshots -175, -3.5, under 40

Birmingham Iron vs Memphis Express

Kickoff: Sun, Mar 24 at 8pm EST

The 1-5 Express are the worst team in the AAF but they made the biggest news this week, signing 2012 Heisman Trophy-winning QB Johnny Manziel.

The former NFL and CFL starter won’t get the nod under center – Express coach Mike Singletary has confirmed Brandon Silvers as his starter – but Manziel is expected to see some action.

“I’m excited.. I’ve been working out constantly." – @JManziel2

📰 | https://t.co/DwEPhASN7v pic.twitter.com/RGAPfWDQsx

— The Alliance (@TheAAF) March 19, 2019

Memphis runs the weakest offense in the AAF (239 yards per game) and have used three QBs this season – Silvers, former New York Jet Christian Hackenberg and ex-LSU starter Zach Mettenberger.

Mettenberger is hurt while Hackenberg and Silvers have combined to throw one touchdown pass and four interceptions in six games.

Homecoming for @8nicknovak and @PerezLuisQB and a night we won’t soon forget.

📰: https://t.co/luZ8dQWfEu#WeAreBirmingham #ForgeOn⚒🔥 pic.twitter.com/3t32PWbQyZ

— Birmingham Iron (@aafiron) March 18, 2019

The 4-2 Iron blanked the Express 26-0 in Week 1. With last week’s 32-29 win over San Diego, the Iron handed the Fleet their first home loss of the season.

Benched Iron QB Luis Perez came off the sidelines to replace an injured Keith Price and threw for 359 yards and three touchdowns.

Iron outlast the Fleet in a back-n-forth Sunday night thriller! pic.twitter.com/tuWJv31A5I

— The Alliance (@TheAAF) March 18, 2019

Those were his first TD passes of the season. But Perez is also prone to poor decision making and was picked off twice.

Pick: Iron -3, Under 37