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Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Game 5 Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Picks (June 18)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Jun 18, 2024 · 12:50 PM PDT

Edmonton Oilers forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shoots the puck against Florida Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky
Jun 8, 2024; Sunrise, Florida, USA; Edmonton Oilers forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (93) shoots the puck against Florida Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky (72) during the first period in game one of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Amerant Bank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve made our Oilers vs Panthers prediction for Game 5 tonight
  • The Stanley Cup Final odds favor the Panthers to win their first Stanley Cup
  • Read below for Oilers vs Panthers Game 5 prediction, odds and player props

The Florida Panthers have another shot to capture their first Stanley Cup in franchise history tonight as they play host to the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final. The puck drops at 8:00 PM ET on ABC from Amerant Bank Arena.

We’ve made our prediction for Tuesday’s NHL game, forecasting a bounce-back performance from the Cats at home. We also have a strong lean for one side of the game total.

Here is our Oilers vs Panthers prediction tonight, along with NHL player props and betting odds.

Oilers vs Panthers Game 5 Prediction

The Panthers lead the Stanley Cup Final 3-1 after the Oilers avoided elimination with a wild 8-1 victory in Game 4. Florida won the first two games in Florida by scores of 3-0 and 4-1 before prevailing 4-3 in Oil Country in Game 3.

The Panthers will look to return to their elite defensive style of play tonight. A key part of that will be the play of goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who was pulled last time out after giving up five goals on 16 shots. In his five previous games following a loss this postseason, Bob is 4-1 with a .914 save percentage and 1.97 GAA.

The Panthers as a team tend to bounce back well after losses, going 4-1 following a defeat in the 2024 playoffs. After losing 6-3 to the Lightning in Game 4 of the first round, the Panthers responded with a 6-1 win to clinch the series. The Panthers’ only consecutive losses came in overtime against the Rangers.

We aren’t focusing too much on the final score for Game 4, as there comes a point where the Florida players know the game is out of reach, and their effort level drops as a result. We project the Panthers come out rejuvenated and focused on home ice to win their first championship tonight.

Florida is 8-3 at Amerant Bank Arena this postseason, winning four straight games and allowing just four total goals. Bobrovsky has been the backbone of the Panthers’ run to the Cup Final, and we expect him to come through tonight.

In the first three games against Edmonton, he stopped 82 of 86 shots for a .953 save percentage. We project Bob and the Cats bounce back to win a low-scoring thriller in Game 5 tonight.

  • Game 5 Pick: Panthers ML (-145)
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Oilers vs Panthers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Oilers +1.5 (-210) +120 Over 5.5 (-105)
Panthers -1.5 (+170) -145 Under 5.5 (-115)

The Stanley Cup Final odds for Game 5 show Florida as -145 favorites to close out the series on home ice. This means that a $145 bet on Florida would win $100 if they win. The implied probability of a Florida victory tonight is 57.45%.

The Oilers come back as the +120 underdogs in this game. A $100 bet on Edmonton would win $120 if they pull off the upset. The Oilers have an implied probability of 45.45% based on the betting odds. They return to underdog status after being favored in both home games.

The total is set at 5.5 goals. Over bettors need at least 6 total goals to cash their tickets. Under bettors are hoping for 5 goals or fewer. The odds are close to even both ways, with a slight lean to the Under at -115.

We are giving out the Panthers as our official play tonight, but we are also leaning towards the Under. The Under is 5-2 in the Panthers’ last 7 games overall and 10-3 in their last 13. Florida doesn’t want to get into a shootout with the Oilers after Edmonton’s offensive outburst last game. Look for them to lock things down tonight.

 

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Odds as of June 18, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out the top sports betting apps for the Stanley Cup Final. 

Oilers vs Panthers Player Props

In the Stanley Cup Final player props, Zach Hyman has the best odds to score for the fifth straight game (+115). However, his odds continue to lengthen as he’s failed to get on the scoresheet in the Final. He opened the series with +100 odds to find twine in Game 1.

Player Anytime Goalscorer Shots on Goal (O/U) Points (O/U)
Zach Hyman +115 3.5 (+135o/-175u) 0.5 (-160o/+124u)
Sam Reinhart +135 2.5 (-145o/+114u) 0.5 (-160o/+124u)
Connor McDavid +135 3.5 (-110o/-120u) 1.5 (-105o/-125u)
Leon Draisaitl +155 2.5 (-135o/+105u) 0.5 (-220o/+170u)
Carter Verhaeghe +160 2.5 (-160o/+124u) 0.5 (-154o/+120u)
Matthew Tkachuk +185 2.5 (-166o/+130u) 0.5 (-154o/+120u)
Aleksander Barkov +220 2.5 (+105o/-135u) 0.5 (-180o/+140u)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins +265 1.5 (-154o/+120u) 0.5 (-140o/+110u)
Sam Bennett +265 2.5 (+110o/-140u) 0.5 (+110o/-140u)
Vladimir Tarasenko +290 1.5 (-166o/+130u) 0.5 (+140o/-180u)

When it comes to NHL player props tonight, we’re targeting a player who has publicly called himself out to the media entering this game. Matthew Tkachuk hasn’t been happy with his recent play, telling reporters, “We have a chance to capture the biggest goal of our lives tonight, so we’re going to go do that.”

Tkachuk’s words don’t automatically guarantee a Florida win, but we like the odds he has a strong individual performance tonight. The veteran only has one assist in the series so far, and it’s hard to imagine the Cats winning their first Cup without Tkachuk playing an important role in the final series.

He’s tied for the team lead with 16 shot attempts at 5-on-5 in the Final, firing 11 of those on target. Considering his ability to deliver in the clutch, such as in last season’s Eastern Conference Final, take the over on Tkachuk’s shots on goal prop, plus bet him as an anytime scorer.

EDM-FLA Props:

  • Matthew Tkachuk Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-166)
  • Matthew Tkachuk Anytime Goal (+185)

 

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