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Orioles vs Yankees Predictions & Player Props to Target (June 20)

Ethan Stone

by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 20, 2024 · 9:30 AM PDT

Orioles vs. Yankees.
Jun 19, 2024; Bronx, New York, USA; Baltimore Orioles center fielder Cedric Mullins (31) hits an RBI single in the tenth inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees face off for the deciding game of their best-of-three weekday series in the Bronx Thursday at 4:05 p.m.
  • The series has been a close one, with New York taking the first matchup and Baltimore outlasting the top-ranked Yankees in Game 2.
  • See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Thursday’s game below.

The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, 2 of the top teams in Major League Baseball, have played an excellent series leading into Thursday’s deciding matchup at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 4:05 p.m.

The Yankees and Orioles are No. 1 and 2 across many statistical categories in the majors, and the previous 2 games have been decided by just 3 runs. Game 1 was a low-scoring affair while Game 2 saw some of the teams’ top bats come out in full force.

Keep reading for a look at the odds for Thursday’s matchup.

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-170) +115 O 8.5 (-115)
New York Yankees -1.5 (+143) -135 U 8.5 (-105)

Odds above via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business. 

As you can see, the Yankees are the favorite for Thursday’s matchup at -135 moneyline odds. As per usual with a close game, Orioles +1.5 is heavily favored at -170 over +143 for Yankees -1.5.

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This will be the 7th matchup this season for these 2 teams, Baltimore leading the way at 4-2 after a 3-1 series victory in Baltimore back in early May. The Orioles needed 10 innings to down the Yankees last night, winning 7-6.

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Four of the six games played to this point have been under the set total of 8.5, though the over is slightly favored in this contest.

Orioles vs. Yankees Best Value Player Props (June 20)

Player Props (Baltimore vs. New York) Odds
Luis Gil under 6.5 Ks -145
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Bases -140
Cole Irvin Over 5.5 Hits allowed -125

All odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Gil has been under this total in 3 of his last 10, and 2 of those “over” outings came against the Athletics and Mariners – teams with the most strikeouts of any in the country. In addition, he’s been throwing less innings lately and faces an Orioles team that simply doesn’t strike out much.

Judge will be out for blood Thursday at Yankee stadium, and he’s hit .500 against Cole Irvin with a home run once already in his career.

I just don’t think this is going to be a very close game for the Orioles after fighting for the win yesterday. Irvin has allowed 8.5 hits per game across his last 3 outings and faces one of the top hitting lineups in the majors.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction (June 20)

Aaron Boone told reporters Wednesday night that he’s “hopeful” Aaron Judge will be back in the lineup after exiting Wednesday’s game with a wrist injury.

Assuming Judge is back and understanding the Yankees are throwing one of the top pitchers in baseball tonight, Yankees -1.5 is my favorite play. New York is just in a better spot with Gil on the mound and has historically done very well against Irvin in the past, posting at .310 average with .396 OBP.

Yankees vs. Orioles pick: Yankees -1.5 (+143)

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