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Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions, Odds & Player Props to Target on June 24

Ethan Stone

by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 24, 2024 · 9:00 AM PDT

Guardians vs. Orioles.
Sep 23, 2023; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Baltimore Orioles right fielder Anthony Santander (25) hits an RBI single in the sixth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Baltimore Orioles host the Cleveland Guardians for a battle between 2 of the top 5 teams in Major League Baseball.
  • The Orioles return home after dropping 3 straight to Houston on the road. The Guardians, on the other hand, have won their last 5 in a row after winning 2 straight home series over the Jays and Mariners.
  • See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Monday’s game below.

The Cleveland Guardians look to keep their win streak intact Monday afternoon as they start their series against the Baltimore Orioles. Cleveland and Baltimore are top 5 teams in the standings heading into Monday’s Game 1 of a best-of-3 series.

The Guardians and Orioles boast 2 of the top pitching units in the league, so much so that their numbers are about equal. However, the Guardians have an advantage on the mound tonight with Tanner Bibee facing lefty Cade Povich and a taxed Orioles bullpen that has struggled in recent weeks. Povich has been impressive in his first few starts in the majors though, so he could be in for another big night after holding the Yankees to just 1 hit through 4.2 innings last week.

Baltimore just barely has the edge offensively according to the stats with top 5 numbers in OPS, SLG, home runs, hits, total bases and RBIs.

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-205) +100 O 8 (-115)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+170) -120 U 8 (-105)

Odds above via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business. 

The Orioles are considered to be slight home favorites for Monday’s matchup at -120 on Caesars, though the Guardians are overwhelming runline favorites at -205 to keep the game within a run. Cleveland’s moneyline odds are favorable for those looking to bet on the Guardians to keep their win streak intact, sitting at +100.

The Orioles and Guardians have yet to face off this season.

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The over/under total for this matchup has been set at 8, with the over favored slightly at -115. The Orioles and Guardians both tend to hit the over more often than not, especially so for Baltimore. The Orioles are 40-28-9 against the over this year while Cleveland is 36-33-6 in total.

Orioles vs. Yankees Best Value Player Props (June 20)

Player Props (Baltimore vs. Cleveland) Odds
Cade Povich under 4.5 Ks -130
Tanner Bibee over 5.5 Ks -135
Adley Rutschman over 1.5 Bases +140

All odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Povich has had an impressive start in the MLB, but it’s hard to imagine him being over this total against Cleveland. The Guardians do not strike out often (2nd least of any team in MLB) and Povich has been well under this total in 2 of his 3 outings this season.

Bibee is the opposite of Povich in this scenario. The Orioles are MLB average at striking out, but Bibee is one of the top strikeout pitchers in the league and has recorded double digit Ks in his past 2 outings. He hasn’t been under this total since mid-May, and even if this is a tough matchup I like his odds.

+140 is an excellent number for one of the more reliable hitters in the league, one that totaled 6 hits across 3 games against the Astros last week.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction (June 24)

The Guardians are hot right now, and while the Orioles have are returning home, I just trust Bibee and the Guardians bats more right now against a taxed Orioles bullpen and a pitcher making his 4th ever start against one of the best batting teams in the country.

The trends make me gravitate towards the over for this matchup, too. Both teams are elite offensively and more often than not hit the over. Not to mention, 8 is a relatively low initial number.

Guardians vs. Orioles pick: Guardians ML (+100), Over 8 (-115)

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