Greece vs Germany Odds, Predictions & Player Props for Olympic Men’s Basketball QF

• Giannis Antetokounmpo leads Greece against Dennis Schroder and Germany in the quarterfinals at the Paris Olympics
• Germany ran through Group B undefeated while Greece qualified with a 1-2 record in Group A
• See the Greece vs Germany odds, predictions, and picks for Tuesday, August 6

An intriguing quarterfinal matchup between Greece (1-2, -8 point differential) and Germany (3-0, +47 point differential) kicks off the knockout round of the men’s basketball tournament at the 2024 Paris Olympics on Tuesday at 5:00 am ET.

Greece, the last team to qualify for the Olympics, eked into the knockout round as one of the best third-place finishers in the round-robin stage. Germany, meanwhile, dominated Group B, posting a trio of double-digit victories over Japan, Brazil, and France.

While Greece will have the best player on the floor in the form of Giannis Antetokounmpo, it’s the considerably deeper Germans who are sizable favorites in Tuesday’s Greece vs Germany odds.

Greece vs Germany Odds

Germany is currently a 7.5-point favorite and -310 on the moneyline to win straight-up. Greece comes back a sa +250 underdog to advance to the semifinals.

The game total is sitting at 161.5. Germany’s first three games averaged 163 PPG while Greece’s averaged just 158.

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Schroder, Wagner Brothers Keep Germany Perfect

For Germany, the round-robin was a Dennis Schroder showcase. The 30-year-old, who’s already bounced around to seven different teams during his 11-season NBA tenure, has played arguably the best basketball of his life during the 2024 Olympics. Schroder is averaging 19.7 PPG on 54.8% shooting from the field (23 of 42) while also dishing out 9.0 assists per game.

Schroder and Franz Wagner tied with a game-high 26 points apiece in Germany’s 85-71 rout of host France in their final game of group play, which cemented their position as the top team in Group B and kept them on the opposite side of the bracket as Team USA (which enters the quarterfinals as a -600 favorite to win gold).

After losing their first two games of group play to Canada (Greece gutted out a (86-79) and Spain (84-77), Greece gutted out a 77-71 victory over favored Australia to keep their Olympic dream alive.

Giannis, as expected, has been the heart and soul of the team. He had 34 points in a losing effort against Canada and added another 27 in the loss to Spain before a solid 20-point, seven-round. six-assist performance in the low-scoring win over Australia.

GRE vs GER Player Props

Player props from DraftKings on Aug 4. Lock in a DraftKings Sportsbook promo to bet on Greece vs Germany on Tuesday. 

To no one’s surprise, Giannis leads the player props at 28.5 points. Franz Wagner has the highest total among Germany players at 20.5 followed closely by Schroder at 18.5. Schroder is also tied for the highest assist total at 7.5 alongside Greek point guard Nick Calathes.

Greece vs Germany Prediction

This line opened at 6.5 and has been steadily climbing. Germany has been undeniably impressive in this tournament so far, but Greece kept both of its losses within seven points. In a 40-minute game against Giannis, it’s difficult to create too big of a gap.

I don’t expect Greece to pull off an upset here; the Germans are far too deep with NBA talent. But I will be very surprised if the feisty, slow-tempo Greeks let the score get out of hand.

Greece vs Germany picks:

• Alt. spread: Germany -4.5 (-188)
• Giannis under 28.5 points (-130)
• Under 161.5 (-112)

Sascha Paruk’s Olympics betting record: 4-1 (+2.66 units). All wagers 1 unit unless expressly stated otherwise.